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2 votes

Mistake in Conditional Probability/Betting question approach

Assume that the draw is continuous (then you can actually assume wlog that you draw from $[0,1]$), and that only you have this option. Since you want to get the number as large as possible, and the ...
van der Wolf's user avatar
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3 votes

Probability Question: Not sure why approach incorrect

Your analysis is wrong because after Player $1$ picks, you're not starting the game from scratch. Because $1$ black ball has now been removed from the bag, $k$ has decreased by $1$ so Player $2$'s ...
Robert Shore's user avatar
2 votes

Probability Question: Not sure why approach incorrect

Your approach seems to make the error of not taking into account the fact that the probabilities will depend on the number$~k$. To see that this must be the case, just consider the cases$~k=0$ (where ...
Marc van Leeuwen's user avatar

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