Questions tagged [probability]

For basic questions about probability and the questions associated with the calculation of probability, expected value, variance, standard deviation, or similar statistical quantities. For questions about the theoretical footing of probability (especially using [tag:measure-theory]), ask under [tag:probability-theory] instead. For questions about specific probability distributions, use [tag:probability-distributions] instead.

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112k views

Expected time to roll all 1 through 6 on a die

What is the average number of times it would it take to roll a fair 6-sided die and get all numbers on the die? The order in which the numbers appear does not matter. I had this questions explained ...
51k views

Explain why $E(X) = \int_0^\infty (1-F_X (t)) \, dt$ for every nonnegative random variable $X$

Let $X$ be a non-negative random variable and $F_{X}$ the corresponding CDF. Show, $$E(X) = \int_0^\infty (1-F_X (t)) \, dt$$ when $X$ has : a) a discrete distribution, b) a continuous ...
95k views

Taking Seats on a Plane

This is a neat little problem that I was discussing today with my lab group out at lunch. Not particularly difficult but interesting implications nonetheless Imagine there are a 100 people in line to ...
265k views

In a family with two children, what are the chances, if one of the children is a girl, that both children are girls?

In a family with two children, what are the chances, if one of the children is a girl, that both children are girls? I just dipped into a book, The Drunkard's Walk - How Randomness Rules Our Lives, ...
13k views

Probability distribution in the coupon collector's problem

I'm trying to solve the well known Coupon Collector's Problem by explicitly finding the probability distribution (so far all the methods I read involve using some sort of trick). However, I'm not ...
46k views

Intuition behind using complementary CDF to compute expectation for nonnegative random variables

I've read the proof for why $\int_0^\infty P(X >x)dx=E[X]$ for nonnegative random variables (located here) and understand its mechanics, but I'm having trouble understanding the intuition behind ...
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63k views

Pdf of the difference of two exponentially distributed random variables

Suppose we have $v$ and $u$, both are independent and exponentially distributed random variables with parameters $\mu$ and $\lambda$, respectively. How can we calculate the pdf of $v-u$?
808 views

Applied Probability- Bayes theorem

I need help in all things related to identifying, defining conditions and solution feed back and reasoning most importantly. 1) A blood test indicates the presence of a particular disease 95 % of the ...
136k views

Expected Number of Coin Tosses to Get Five Consecutive Heads

A fair coin is tossed repeatedly until 5 consecutive heads occurs. What is the expected number of coin tosses?
202k views

Is the product of two Gaussian random variables also a Gaussian?

Say I have $X \sim \mathcal N(a, b)$ and $Y\sim \mathcal N(c, d)$. Is $XY$ also normally distributed? Is the answer any different if we know that $X$ and $Y$ are independent?
65k views

Expectation of the maximum of gaussian random variables

Is there an exact or good approximate expression for the expectation, variance or other moments of the maximum of $n$ independent, identically distributed gaussian random variables where $n$ is large? ...
27k views

Choose a random number between $0$ and $1$ and record its value. Keep doing it until the sum of the numbers exceeds $1$. How many tries do we need?

Choose a random number between $0$ and $1$ and record its value. Do this again and add the second number to the first number. Keep doing this until the sum of the numbers exceeds $1$. What's the ...
86k views

If you draw two cards, what is the probability that the second card is a queen?

We had this question arise in class today and I still don't understand the answer given. We were to assume that drawing cards are independent events. We were asked what the probability that the second ...
37k views

How exactly are the beta and gamma distributions related?

According to Wikipedia, the Beta distribution is related to the gamma distribution by the following relation: $$\lim_{n\to\infty}n B(k, n) = \Gamma(k, 1)$$ Can you point me to a derivation of this ...
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How calculate the probability density function of $Z = X_1/X_2$

Let $X_1$ and $X_2$ be two continuous r.v., my question is: what is the p.d.f of $Z=X_1/X_2$?
185 views

Why is flipping a head then a tail a different outcome than flipping a tail then a head?

In either case, one coin flip resulted in a head and the other resulted in a tail. Why is {H,T} a different outcome than {T,H}? Is this simply how we've defined an "outcome" in probability? My main ...
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Multiple-choice question about the probability of a random answer to itself being correct

I found this math "problem" on the internet, and I'm wondering if it has an answer: Question: If you choose an answer to this question at random, what is the probability that you will be correct? ...
35k views

Probability that n points on a circle are in one semicircle

Choose n points randomly from a circle, how to calculate the probability that all the points are in one semicircle? Any hint is appreciated.
25k views

Summing (0,1) uniform random variables up to 1 [duplicate]

Possible Duplicate: choose a random number between 0 and 1 and record its value. and keep doing it until the sum of the numbers exceeds 1. how many tries? So I'm reading a book about simulation, ...
12k views

If $X$ and $Y$ are independent then $f(X)$ and $g(Y)$ are also independent.

Knowing that if you have two independent $X$ and $Y$, and $f$ and $g$ measurable functions, how to show that then $U = f (X)$ and $V = g (Y)$ are still independent.
974 views

Looking for examples of Discrete / Continuous complementary approaches

Among many fascinating sides of mathematics, there is one that I praise, especially for didactic purposes : the parallels that can be drawn between some "Continuous" and "Discrete"...