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A stick of length 1 is broken at an arbitrary point and the leftmost piece, say "m", is selected. Stick "m" is then broken at an arbitrary point and the leftmost piece "n" is selected. What is the probability density function for the length of "n"? What is the average length of "n"?

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    $\begingroup$ This is the same as the product of two uniform i.i.d. variables. does that help? $\endgroup$ Jan 24, 2014 at 5:58
  • $\begingroup$ unfortunately no!! $\endgroup$ Jan 24, 2014 at 6:43
  • $\begingroup$ is it correct: f(x)=1/(m-m/2)=2/m for (m/2)<L<m and 0 for others? $\endgroup$ Jan 24, 2014 at 6:46

2 Answers 2

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Let's use $M$ for the length of $m$, and $N$ for the length of $n$.

Given the length $M$, the conditional expected length of $N$ is clearly $E[N\mid M]=\frac{M}{2}$ so the overall expectation of this is clearly $E[N]=E\left[\frac{M}{2}\right]=\frac14$.

The density of $M$ is uniform on $[0,1]$, taking the value $1$. Given $M=x$, the density of $N$ is uniform, taking the value $\frac{1}{x}1$, so $\Pr[N\le y\mid M=x]=\frac{y}{x}$ for $0 \le y \le x$, and is $1$ when $x \le y$. So $$\Pr[N\le y] = \int_{x=y}^1 \frac{y}{x}\,dx +\int_{x=0}^y \,dx = y(1-\log_e y)$$ ant the density for $N$ is the derivative of this, namely $$-\log_e(y).$$

You can check the expected value, as $\displaystyle \int_0^1 -y \log_e(y) \,dy = \frac14$.

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For $y \in (0,1)$

$P(n \le y)=P(n \le y|m>y).P(m>y)+P(n \le y|m\le y).P(m \le y)$

$P(n \le y|m\le y).P(m \le y)=1.P(m \le y)=P(m \le y)=y$

$P(n \le y|m>y).P(m>y)=\int_y^1P(n \le y|x>y)P(m=x)$

$=\int_y^1 \frac{y}{x}dx=-y \ln y$

$P(n \le y)=y(1-\ln y)$ $y \in (0,1)$

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