I am studying semiconductor physics. there is a paragraph about Drude model in E.spenke's book "Electronic semiconductors" page 259 in art §9:
"if on the average, a time $τ$ elapses between two collisions of an electron, $dt/τ$ terminal points of such times fall on average into the time interval $dt$. thus an electron suffers in the interval $dt$ on the average $dt/τ$ collisions, and $N$ electrons suffer $Ndt/τ$ collisions. thus collisions eliminate in an interval $dt$ on the average
$$dN=N.dt/τ$$
electrons from a group with uniform velocity and direction hence decrease exponentialy with time:
$$N=N(0).e^{−t/τ}$$
..."
I think $dt/τ$ is the probability of an electron to collide. normally in exponential decays mean free time is found in a different manner usualy it is assumed that decay rate is propotional to the concentration i.e $dN/dt∝N$ hence $$dN/dt=−kN⟹τ=\frac{∫_0^∞t (kN dt )}{N(0)}⟹τ=1/k$$ but in above paragraph it is assumed that if $τ$ is mean time then it would directly imply an exponential profile.
(Mathematicaly $$τ=\frac{τ_1+τ_2+τ_3+...τ_n}{n}$$ here $n$ is a dummy variable and has no connection with the problem mentioned. $τ_n$ represents time taken by an electron in making $n$th collision with lattice atom)
Question: Can we show mathematically from the definition of $τ$ that in time interval $dt$ probability of electron to collide is $dt/τ$? And hence the Exponential decay law.