The way how the Student obtained $a=8$ in $T_4$ clearly indicates that $a=2^3=8$ is the true reason behind this value. This immediately prompts an observation that the leading coefficient of $T_n$ is $2^{n-1}$ for $n=1,2,4$. Moreover. By uniqueness, $T_3$ must be odd (that is, has non-zero coefficients before $x^3$ and $x$ only), and a reasonable conjecture that its leading coefficient is 4 leads to the $4x^3 - 3x$ polynomial as the candidate, given $T_3(1) = 1$. The Student can fairly easily check that it is $T_3$.
The leading coefficient formula notably fails for $T_0$, but $2^{-1}$ is obviously not integer, which suggests that all coefficients in $T_n$ should be integer. Moreover, the coefficient before $x$ is 1 in $T_1$ and −3 in $T_3$, suggesting a conjecture—namely, $(-1)^{(n-1)/2}n$—about its values for all odd $n$. Note that positivity of $T_n'(0)$ where $n = 1 (\mod 4)$ and its negativity where $n = 3 (\mod 4)$ are fairly obvious by consideration of monotonicity on intervals. These conjectural expressions for coefficients (the leading one and before $x$ for odd $n$) can prompt the Student to realize that $T_{mn} = T_m \circ T_n$; the thing which is rather obvious from the functional (not algebraic) viewpoint. For example, $T_2(T_2(x)) = 2(2x^2 - 1)^2 - 1 = 2^{1 + 2\times 1}x^{2\times 2} + (2\times 2\times 2)x^2 + 2 - 1 = 8x^4 - 8x^2 + 1 = T_4(x)$ and in general $mn - 1 = (m - 1) + m(n - 1)$. The $T_{mn}$ hack is, anyway, not necessary (and not useful at all for finding $T_5$).
The above information provides enough tips for a quest for $T_5$. Having guesses—16 before $x^5$ and 5 before $x$—the Student arrives at the $T_5(x) = 16x^5 - 20x^3 + 5x$ hypothesis by $T_5(1) = 1$. Indeed, its derivative is $80x^4 - 60x^2 + 5$, or $16x^4 - 12x^2 + 1$ up to a positive constant factor (which, by the way, equals to $n$ in line with previous tests). Now its roots (that is, extrema of the prospective $T_5$) have to be found. Making the $u = 4x^2$ change of variable, the Student gets the $u^2 - 3u + 1 = 0$ equation which can be solved by a well-known formula and yields $u = \frac{3 \pm \sqrt{5}}{2}$. Obviously, both roots are positive.
My experience with Dirichlet integers helps to realize that these roots are full squares (which indeed makes respective values of $2x$ Dirichlet integers too), albeit the Student is not expected to know that. But with the hypothetical $T_5(x) = (16x^4 - 20x^2 + 5)x$ the Student can, firstly, compute the value of $16x^4 - 20x^2 + 5 = u^2 - 5u + 5$ at the supposed extremal points of $T_5$. By $(\frac{3 \pm \sqrt{5}}{2})² = \frac{7 \pm 3\sqrt{5}}{2}$ it will be $1 \mp \sqrt{5}$.
At this point the Student can observe that $\left(\frac{1 \pm \sqrt{5}}{2}\right)^{-1} = \frac{-1 \pm \sqrt{5}}{2}$
(yes, the golden ratio up to sign). Because we are not, in fact, obliged to compute values of $(16x^4 - 20x^2 + 5)x$ but only to check whether are they (at the extremal points) $\pm 1$, we should look at the set of four values of $x$—namely, $x = \pm\left(1 \mp \sqrt{5}\right)^{-1} = \pm\frac{-1 \mp \sqrt{5}}{4}$—and check whether does each of them yield the same value of $u = 4x^2 = (2x)^2$ as we already found. All that remains is to compute the square of $\frac{-1 \mp \sqrt{5}}{2}$, which is indeed $\frac{3 \pm \sqrt{5}}{2}$, exactly the same as $u$.
Now we actually know all $T$ up to $T_5$, or possibly even $T_6$. I don’t think it would be hard to guess the recurrence relation from such table of coefficients, although I have no idea how to prove it from such elementary grounds.