This conjecture is false. To disprove this, we must first consider two possible cases.
First, if RH is false, then the supremum $\Theta$ of the imaginary parts of the zeroes of $\zeta(s)$ is larger than $1/2$. We claim that $x^{-1/2} M(x) - \sum_{n \leq x} \mu(n) n^{-1/2}$ changes sign infinitely often. Suppose in order to obtain a contradiction that there exists some $0 < \varepsilon < \Theta - 1/2$ and $x_{\varepsilon} > 1$ such that $x^{-1/2} M(x) - \sum_{n \leq x} \mu(n) n^{-1/2} < x^{\Theta - 1/2 - \varepsilon}$ for all $x > x_{\varepsilon}$. Then Landau's lemma (Lemma 15.1 of Montgomery-Vaughan) states that if $\sigma_c$ is the infimum of $\sigma \in \mathbb{R}$ for which
$$\int_{1}^{\infty} \left(x^{\Theta - 1/2 - \varepsilon} - x^{-1/2} M(x) + \sum_{n \leq x} \mu(n) n^{-1/2}\right) x^{-\sigma} \, \frac{dx}{x}$$
is convergent, then
$$\int_{1}^{\infty} \left(x^{\Theta - 1/2 - \varepsilon} - x^{-1/2} M(x) + \sum_{n \leq x} \mu(n) n^{-1/2}\right) x^{-s} \, \frac{dx}{x}$$
is holomorphic in the right-half plane $\Re(s) > \sigma_c$, but not at the point $s = \sigma_c$. On the other hand, this integral is equal to
$$\frac{1}{s + 1/2 - \Theta + \varepsilon} + \frac{1}{2s(s + 1/2)\zeta(s + 1/2)}$$
for $\Re(s) > 1/2$ and hence $\Re(s) > \sigma_c$ by analytic continuation. However, this expression has a pole at $s = \Theta - 1/2 - \varepsilon$ and no other poles on the real line segment $\sigma > \Theta - 1/2 - \varepsilon$, yet by the definition of $\Theta$, there are poles in the strip $\Theta - 1/2 - \varepsilon < \Re(s) \leq \Theta - 1/2$. Thus a contradiction is obtained. It follows that
$$\limsup_{x \to \infty} \frac{x^{-1/2} M(x) - \sum_{n \leq x} \mu(n) n^{-1/2}}{x^{\Theta - 1/2 - \varepsilon}} \geq 1.$$
The exact same argument shows that the limit inferior is at most $-1$, which means that the limit as $x \to \infty$ of $x^{-1/2} M(x) - \sum_{n \leq x} \mu(n) n^{-1/2}$ does not exist.
Now we suppose that RH is true. Let $\rho = 1/2 + i\gamma$ be a simple zero on the line $\Re(s) = 1/2$. Suppose in order to obtain a contradiction that there exists some $C < |\gamma \rho \zeta'(\rho)|^{-1}$ and $x_0 > 1$ such that $x^{-1/2} M(x) - \sum_{n \leq x} \mu(n) n^{-1/2} + 1/\zeta(1/2) < C$ for all $x > x_0$. Then for $\Re(s) > 1/2$,
$$\int_{1}^{\infty} \left(C - x^{-1/2} M(x) + \sum_{n \leq x} \mu(n) n^{-1/2} - 1/\zeta(1/2)\right) x^{-s} \, \frac{dx}{x} = F(s),$$
where
$$F(s) = \frac{C}{s} + \frac{1}{2s(s + 1/2)\zeta(s + 1/2)} - \frac{1}{s\zeta(1/2)}.$$
Then
$$\int_{1}^{\infty} \left(C - x^{-1/2} M(x) + \sum_{n \leq x} \mu(n) n^{-1/2} - 1/\zeta(1/2)\right) \left(1 + \cos(\phi - \gamma \log x)\right) x^{-s} \, \frac{dx}{x}$$
is equal to
$$F(s) + \frac{1}{2} \left(e^{i\phi} F(s + i\gamma) + e^{-i\phi} F(s - i\gamma)\right),$$
where
$$\phi = \pi - \arg\left(\frac{1}{i\gamma \rho \zeta'(\rho)}\right).$$
We consider the limit as $s$ approaches $0$ from the right. After multiplying by $s$, the expression in terms of $F(s)$ converges to
$$C - \left|\frac{1}{\gamma \rho \zeta'(\rho)}\right|.$$
By assumption, this is negative. On the other hand, this must mean that the integral above tends to negative infinity as $s$ approaches $0$ from the right. This, however, cannot be the case, as by assumption the integrand is nonnegative for all sufficiently large $x$. Thus a contradiction is obtained, and so
$$\limsup_{x \to \infty} \left(x^{-1/2} M(x) - \sum_{n \leq x} \mu(n) n^{-1/2} + 1/\zeta(1/2)\right) \geq \left|\frac{1}{\gamma \rho \zeta'(\rho)}\right|.$$
The same argument shows that
$$\liminf_{x \to \infty} \left(x^{-1/2} M(x) - \sum_{n \leq x} \mu(n) n^{-1/2} + 1/\zeta(1/2)\right) \leq -\left|\frac{1}{\gamma \rho \zeta'(\rho)}\right|.$$
This means that the limit as $x \to \infty$ of $x^{-1/2} M(x) - \sum_{n \leq x} \mu(n) n^{-1/2}$ does not exist.
I should note that if one assumes some standard conjectures, $x^{-1/2} M(x) - \sum_{n \leq x} \mu(n) n^{-1/2}$ does remain bounded as $x \to \infty$, and the limit inferior and limit superior can be explicitly written down, namely
$$\limsup_{x \to \infty} \left(x^{-1/2} M(x) - \sum_{n \leq x} \mu(n) n^{-1/2}\right) = -\frac{1}{\zeta(1/2)} + \sum_{\rho} \left|\frac{1}{\gamma \rho \zeta'(\rho)}\right|$$
and
$$\liminf_{x \to \infty} \left(x^{-1/2} M(x) - \sum_{n \leq x} \mu(n) n^{-1/2}\right) = -\frac{1}{\zeta(1/2)} - \sum_{\rho} \left|\frac{1}{\gamma \rho \zeta'(\rho)}\right|,$$
and this sum over nontrivial zeroes $\rho$ is finite.