The probability of rain during a winter day is 0.58, the probability of rain during a spring day is 0.38, the probability of rain during a summer day is 0.25 and the probability of rain for a fall day is 0.53. Each season is 1/4 of the year. What is the probability of rain on a randomly chosen day? In this question I got a 0.435... But I'm not really sure if I used the Bayes' theorem. I know, however, that I used the general multiplication rule and the law of total probability because in order to get the probability that it rains for any given season, I have to use the multiplication rule. And then to get the total probability of rain on any given day (in all four seasons), I have to use the law of total probability. Once more, is Bayes' theorem necessary/is used here? Thanks!