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I was looking at the number of divisors of odd natural numbers $2r+1$ and I observed an curious difference between the cases when $r$ is a prime and when it is a composite.

Let $p_n$ and $c_n$ be the $n$-th prime and the $n$-th composite number respectively. Let $f(n)$ be the number of natural numbers of the form $2p_k + 1, k \le n$ which have exactly four divisors. Let $g(n)$ be the number of natural numbers of the form $2c_k + 1, k \le n$ which have exactly four divisors.

I observed that as $n$ increases, $\dfrac{f(n)}{g(n)}$ decreases. For $n = 1 \times 10^7$ the ratio was about $0.710$ while for $n = 7 \times 10^7$ the ratio was about $0.706$. The data shows that a number for the from $2r+1$ is nearly $30\%$ less likely to have exactly four divisors if $r$ is a prime than it is if $r$ is composite. $30\%$ is a significant difference so I am curious to know the what is it about primes that causes this large difference?

Similarly, for number of the form $2r+1$ which have exactly ten divisors, I observed that if $r$ is a prime, the likelihood increases by about $3.5\%$. Thus in some cases, the likelihood decreases with primes and in some cases it increases.

Question 1: Why is a number of the from $2r+1$ about $30\%$ less likely to have exactly four divisors when $r$ is a prime?

Question 2: In which case does it increase for primes and in which case does it decrease?

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    $\begingroup$ A number with exactly four divisors is either of the form $p^3$ or $pq$ for distinct primes $p,q$. I wonder if its related to $2r+1$ not being of the form $p^3$, since if that was the case, $r=(p^3-1)/2$, which is divisible by $(p-1)/2$ $\endgroup$ – Kenta S Aug 4 '20 at 14:32
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    $\begingroup$ Shouldn't you consider $f(n)$ (respectively $g(n)$) to be the same as you define but with $2p+1\leq n$ (resp. $2c+1\leq n$)? Because when you are counting the primes and the composite numbers, both counting methods don't go to the same speed towards infinity, and it may (but may not) have a strong influence in your ratio (especially if the property "having exactly four divisors" is correlated to be in some regions of the natural numbers for instance). $\endgroup$ – Fabien Aug 4 '20 at 14:33
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Reason 1: The nth prime is roughly log n times larger than the nth composite number, and larger numbers tend to have more factors.

Reason 2: Given n with a factor p, 2n+1 is not divisible by p. So if n has small factors, 2n+1 will tend to have fewer small factors. As an example, if n is prime then there is a 50% chance that 2n+1 is divisible by 3, while for random n the chance is one in three.

I’d check the results first with primes and non-primes of the same size.

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