Looking for a little help here with a statistical question.
Let say I am trying to estimate how many hits a baseball player will hit in a game. Obviously its impossible to get it completely right, but we can find statistical factors (such as their usual production) to help us determine some sort of probability
I know there is an increased chance of getting a hit in the game each time a player has an AT Bat. The more chances you get to hit the ball, the more likely you are to hit the ball.
So if I have two players:
Player A will get 4 At Bats in the game Player B will get 3 At Bats in the game
However, lets say player B has a batting average of .300, while player A has a batting average of .280. So despite Player A being the worse hitter.. they have more opportunities to hit the ball.
From a statistical standpoint how do I determine what this extra at bat is worth? I am trying to do this with many different factors, but thought this example would be good to start.