I am having difficulty understanding how this problem is done:
Bill and George go target shooting together. Both shoot at a target at the same time. Suppose Bill hits the target with probability $0.7$, whereas George, independently, hits the target with probability $0.4$. Given that exactly one shot hit the target, what is the probability that it was George's shot?
I have the solution, it's $\frac{2}{9}$, but I have a test this week and am having difficulty understanding the methods used. Can anyone explain please?
Thanks.
Edit: After reading the solution, I was able to understand. But the second part of the question confuses me because it seems like it is the same as the first part, how can I differentiate their meanings? Here is the second part:
Given that the target is hit, what is the probability that George hit it? I know we're dealing with different sample spaces...
P(Bill, not George) + P(not Bill, George)
, you also need to addP(Bill, George)
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