A man is known to speak the truth 3 out of 4 times. He throws a dice and reports a six. Find probability it is actually a six.
I tried to compute it using the probability tree (I don't wish to directly apply the formula for Bayes Theorem) only. The posts here and here explains the question but I am looking for the probability tree approach.
Also, the second part of my question is, can I solve any question using the concept of probability tree? If yes, do I need to separately learn Bayes Theorem?
Thanks for your help!!