Suppose we have $n+1$ items. The last item is special.
We can think of $\binom{n}{k-1}$ as counting the number of ways to pick $k-1$ items out of the first $n$. This is the same as the number of ways to pick $k$ items out of $n+1$ in a way that includes the last item.
We can think of $\binom nk$ as counting the number of ways to pick $k$ items out of the first $n$. This is the same as the number of ways to pick $k$ items out of $n+1$ in a way that does not include the last item.
Since $k \le \lfloor \frac n2 \rfloor$, we have $k < \frac{n+1}{2}$, so we are picking fewer than half of the $n+1$ items. This means we should include the special, last item less than half the time: so $\binom{n}{k-1}$ (which counts the cases when we include it) should be less than $\binom{n}{k}$ (which counts the cases when we don't).