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Two cards are drawn successively from a pack of $52$ cards. Find the probability that the cards are picture cards (Jack,Queen and King), or spades, or both.

I did the normal $A \cup B$ formula, but then I realised that this will fall under conditional probability. I don't have any formula for that though.

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  • $\begingroup$ What's the probability that the first drawn card is of the form you want? Conditioned on a success with the first card, what is the probability that the second is also a card of the form you want? $\endgroup$ – lulu Sep 3 '18 at 13:09
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    $\begingroup$ @lulu is it (22/52)*(21/51)? $\endgroup$ – user585380 Sep 3 '18 at 13:12
  • $\begingroup$ You need to select two out of 22 cards. $\endgroup$ – prog_SAHIL Sep 3 '18 at 13:17
  • $\begingroup$ Yes! and it is good to verify that this gives the same result as the (solid) method proposed by @prog_SAHIL $\endgroup$ – lulu Sep 3 '18 at 13:20
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If neither are spades, they should both be faces and the number of cases is ${\binom{9}{2}}$. If one of them is spade, the other one should either be spade or non-spade face. The former case has ${\binom{13}{2}}$ and the latter has ${\binom{13}{1}\binom{9}{1}}$ number of possible cases which makes a total probability $$\dfrac{\binom{9}{2}+\binom{13}{2}+\binom{9}{1}\binom{13}{1}}{\binom{52}{2}}$$

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  • $\begingroup$ I thought you mean two spade faces by both. $\endgroup$ – Mostafa Ayaz Sep 3 '18 at 13:44
  • $\begingroup$ So you mean the case $1\heartsuit,K\spadesuit$ is valid huh? $\endgroup$ – Mostafa Ayaz Sep 3 '18 at 13:45

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