# Is it possible to not know if a random variable is continuous or not?

Suppose I have a sample of a random variable, $X$ but I do not know if the distribution is continuous or discrete. First of all is this possible?

Second if it is possible how could I determine if $X$ is continuous from a set of iid random variables $X_1, ... X_n$?

• Suppose I gave you a random variable $X$ and told you nothing else about it? Could you figure out if it was continuous or not? You cannot determine continuity from a finite set of evaluations, you can't even assign a probability to it being continuous given this finite set of evaluations. – Thoth Jul 1 '17 at 15:47
• Even if you had a large sample and every value was 0 or 1? Are you saying you can even predict if it were continuous or not with some probability? – futurebird Jul 1 '17 at 15:50
• Correct, after all it could still take the rest of $\bf R$ with some vanishingly small probability. – Thoth Jul 1 '17 at 15:51
• Your interpretation of it having a lower probability only makes sense in a Bayesian context though. So if you're assigning probabilities to various supports based on your data, all you're saying is one support is more probable than another based on the data. But that doesn't mean both don't have vanishingly small probability compared to a particular infinite support. Since the probabiilty of the RV taking values off these discrete sets may be epsilon small. – Thoth Jul 1 '17 at 16:00
• You can't assign probabilities to various models based on your data without a prior distribution. That's why frequentist statistics only talks about relative "likelihoods". – Thoth Jul 1 '17 at 16:01

Technically, the difference between discrete and continuous lies in how the population distribution is described.

Discrete population. If probabilities are specified for a finite (or countable) number of values, then the distribution is discrete. An example is $X \sim \mathsf{Binom}(5, .5),$ where $P(X = k) = {5 \choose k}/32,$ for $k = 0,1,2,3,4,5.$ Only the six integers from 0 to 5 (inclusive) have probabilities. Many (not all) of the discrete distributions in common use take integer values.

Continuous population. If the probability distribution is described by a density function, then it is continuous. An example is $Y \sim \mathsf{Exp}(rate=1),$ where the density function is $f(y) = e^{-y},$ for $y > 0.$ The probability of an interval is obtained by integrating the density function. The probability of any one particular value is $0$. So in theory, it is not possible to have repeated values (ties) in the data. As a practical matter continuous data may have ties, because one must round to a certain number of decimal places and two different observations may have the same rounded value.

Samples. Given a sample, it is not possible to say for sure whether the population from which the sample was taken is discrete or continuous. However, in practice you can get a pretty good idea.

$(a)$ If there are more than just occasional repeated values, then the population should ordinarily be regarded as discrete. This is especially true if values are all integers.

$(b)$ A large sample with no repeated values should ordinarily be regarded as having come from a continuous population. This is especially true if the observations are not integers (or otherwise regularly spaced).

Practical importance. One kind of statistical application in which the difference between a discrete and a continuous population is important is in the use of nonparametric statistics that are based on ranking data. Examples, are the Wilcoxon signed-rank and rank-sum tests. Data are assumed to be from continuous populations so that there will be few (ideally no) ties. Ties interfere with the computation of ranks and thus with the probability theory underlying the test.

By contrast, a runs test is based on sequences of repeated values. If s runs test is done on continuous data, one must artificially induce discreteness. For example, one may look at something like 'runs above the mean (+1)' and ' runs below the mean (-1).

Examples. Here is a sample of 50 observations from the continuous distributio $\mathsf{Norm}(100,10).$ Values have been rounded to the nearest 0.01. They have been sorted from smallest to largest; numbers in brackets show the index of the first observation in each row. If you look closely, you can see that there is a tie at 101.05. But a statistician looking at these data would suppose that they were sampled from a continuous population. (However, it is possible, however implausible, that the population consists only of the 49 different values we happened to observe.)

 [1]  63.90  78.72  80.47  84.73  85.04  85.18  87.28  88.30  90.29  91.03
[11]  92.42  92.81  93.96  95.27  95.77  96.17  96.75  96.90  97.95  98.23
[21]  98.46  98.57  98.91  98.92  99.27  99.62 100.01 100.69 101.05 101.05
[31] 101.21 102.75 102.76 103.38 103.50 103.97 104.47 105.88 106.71 107.80
[41] 107.83 107.97 108.06 108.57 109.09 111.16 112.39 113.53 113.82 115.30


Here is a sample of 20 observations from $\mathsf{Pois}(\lambda=100),$ a discrete distribution taking only integer values. There are only three ties among the 20 values (at 98, 104, and 110). However, because all values are integers, I doubt that a statistician would assume that the ties are the result of rounding data from a continuous distribution. (But of course, rounding is a possibility; sometimes continuous data are rounded to integers, although that is not usually good practice.)

 [1]  79  81  92  93  95  96  97  98  98  99
[11] 101 104 104 105 106 110 110 111 115 116