I was browsing The Signal and the Noise in bookstore and chanced upon a chapter about predictions in baseball and found out about Moneyball and sabermetrics. I understand the closest to predicting a cricket match score comes via Duckworth-Lewis method and Jayadevan's system but going over these two following references: (1) (2) no work was found on an individual's innings.

Probably this question is too soft for this site, but problem is I have basically no knowledge about statistics and I do not know what to search for to find out how bettors use algorithms to predict scores. Any help would be appreciated.

Edit: Forgot to add this link which was a further inspiration for the question.


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