Hi I am having a difficult time to understand how to solve this problem although I get the concept of conditional probability but this is a tricky one:
suppose we have 4 balls that can be placed into 4 boxes one after another with equally likely possibilities. the question is what is the probability that a box contains exactly 3 balls given that the first 2 balls have been placed into different boxes. The solution I tried is as below but I am not convince that is done correctly: I take these events: PA(2 balls in the box) = 2/4 = 1/2 PB(1 ball in the box) = 1/4 then, calculate the prob that these two events happened PA and PB = 1/2* 1/4=1/8
is this correct? and appreciate for some explanation as I don't quite understand how this works.