suppose $X_1,X_2,\ldots$ is sequence of independent random variables of $U(0,1)$ if $N=\min\{n>0 :X_{(n:n)}-X_{(1:n)}>\alpha , 0<\alpha<1\}$ that $X_{(1:n)}$ is smallest order statistic and $X_{(n:n)}$ is largest order statistic. how can find $E(N)$
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1$\begingroup$ find distribution of $(M_n-m_n)$, I think its $\frac 1 {n(n-1)}x^{n-2}(1-x)$. Then $\mathbb P (T > n) = \mathbb P (M_n - m_n < \alpha)$ because $M_n - m_n$ increasing. $\endgroup$– mikeCommented Jul 31, 2012 at 18:31
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$\begingroup$ @mike : Where you refer to "$T$", do you mean $N$? $\endgroup$– Michael HardyCommented Jul 31, 2012 at 19:08
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$\begingroup$ yes, sorry ${}{}$ $\endgroup$– mikeCommented Jul 31, 2012 at 19:41
1 Answer
Let $m_n=\min\{X_k\,;\,1\leqslant k\leqslant n\}=X_{(1:n)}$ and $M_n=\max\{X_k\,;\,1\leqslant k\leqslant n\}=X_{(n:n)}$. As explained in comments, $(m_n,M_n)$ has density $n(n-1)(y-x)^{n-2}\cdot[0\lt x\lt y\lt1]$ hence $M_n-m_n$ has density $n(n-1)z^{n-2}(1-z)\cdot[0\lt z\lt1]$.
For every $n\geqslant2$, $[N\gt n]=[M_n-m_n\lt\alpha]$ hence $$ \mathrm P(N\gt n)=\int_0^\alpha n(n-1)z^{n-2}(1-z)\mathrm dz=\alpha^{n}+n(1-\alpha)\alpha^{n-1}. $$ The same formula holds for $n=0$ and $n=1$ hence $$ \mathrm E(N)=\sum_{n=0}^{+\infty}\mathrm P(N\gt n)=\sum_{n=0}^{+\infty}\alpha^n+(1-\alpha)\sum_{n=0}^{+\infty}n\alpha^{n-1}=\frac2{1-\alpha}. $$ Edit: To compute the density of $(m_n,M_n)$, start from the fact that $$ \mathrm P(x\lt m_n,M_n\lt y)=\mathrm P(x\lt X_1\lt y)^n=(y-x)^n, $$ for every $0\lt x\lt y\lt 1$. Differentiating this identity twice, once with respect to $x$ and once with respect to $y$, yields the opposite of the density of $(m_n,M_n)$.
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1$\begingroup$ The answer is the same as the one we would get if the question were "What is the average number of trials required to observe two occurrences of an event of probability $1-\alpha$?" So I wonder if the result can be obtained via an argument based on the linearity of expectation. $\endgroup$ Commented Jul 31, 2012 at 20:08
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$\begingroup$ @DilipSarwate : The "trials" of which you speak would not be independent! So there's a complication. $\endgroup$ Commented Jul 31, 2012 at 21:44
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1$\begingroup$ @did : I wonder if this answer should be considered incomplete because it fails to explain why that's the density of the pair. $\endgroup$ Commented Jul 31, 2012 at 21:45
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$\begingroup$ very very thanks for your reply. why [N>n]=[Mn−mn<α]? please explain me. $\endgroup$ Commented Aug 1, 2012 at 8:53