A stochastic, or random, process describes the correlation or evolution of random events. It is used to model stock market fluctuations and electronic/audio-visual/biological signals. Among the most well-known stochastic processes are random walks and Brownian motion.

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166 views

Removing deterministic discontinuities from semi-martingales

Let $X:=(X_t)_{0 \le t \le T}$ be a solution of the SDE $$ X_t = X_0 + \int_0^t \sigma(s,X_s) dW_s + \sum_{i=1}^n f_i(X_{t_i^-}) 1_{\{t > t_i\}}$$ where $t_1,\cdots,t_n \in [0,T]$ and $(f_i)_{1 \le ...
9
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0answers
365 views

Expected value of the distance square

Given two points $X,Y$ on two sides of square $[0,1]\times [0,1]$ ($X:(0,1/2),Y:(1,1/2)$ (PS: My original question is $X,Y$ on opposite of a square, but I think that's not the real case) )and $n$ ...
7
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138 views

How well can the maximum of a Gaussian process be approximated by a finite-dimensional Gaussian variable?

Consider a compact set $K$ in $\mathbb{R}^p$, and let $W$ be a mean zero continuous Gaussian process on $K$, meaning that $W$ takes its values in the space of continuous functions from $K$ to ...
7
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0answers
167 views

Sufficient condition in terms of stopping times for a stochastic process to be a local supermartingale

(Question edited in response to Nate's comment) Let $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ be a continuous (or càdlàg), real-valued process, and define stopping times $\tau_{s,a,b}=\inf~ [s,\infty)\cap\{t:X_t\notin ...
6
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52 views

Donsker's Theorem for triangular arrays

Assume we have a sequence of smooth i.i.d. random variables $(X_i)_{i=1}^{\infty}$. Given $\alpha>0$, does some sort of Donsker's Theorem hold for $\left(\frac{X_i}{n^{\alpha}}\right)_{i=1}^n$? ...
6
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383 views

Generated sigma algebra from Brownian Motion

Suppose that we have a Brownian motion and we define the P-augmented filtration by $$\mathcal{F}^W_t:=\sigma(\mathcal{F}^0_t \cup \mathcal{N})$$ where $\mathcal{F}_t^0:=\sigma(W_s;s\le t)$ and ...
6
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0answers
375 views

Hölder Continuity of Fractional Brownian Motion

I would like to prove the following theorem: Let $H\in (0,1)$. The fractional Brownian motion $B_H$ admits a version whose sample paths are $a.s.$ Hölder continuous of order strict less than $H$. ...
6
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908 views

Monotone class theorem

I have some question about the Monotone Class Theorem and its application. First I state the Theorem: Let $\mathcal{M}:=\{f_\alpha; \alpha \in J\}$ be a set of bounded functions, such that ...
6
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246 views

Potential theory: discrete-time Markov processes

Recently I've found lecture notes on "Analysis on Graphs" where the potential theory methods were used to study discrete-time, time-reversible Markov chains (i.e. the state space is countable). ...
6
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271 views

Is there a connection between the 3D random walk constant and the partition function?

In thinking about this question, I took a look at Pólya's random walk constants and was struck by the fact that an expression for the constant for a three-dimensional random walk, ...
6
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291 views

An application of the Optional Sampling Theorem

let $S(k), k\geq 0$ a discrete random process. Suppose $S(N)$ is with probability one either 100 or 0 and that $S(0)=50$. Suppose further there is at least a sixty percent probability that the price ...
5
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110 views

In stochastic calculus, why do we have $(dt)^2=0$ and other results?

I'm doing actuarial problems of Exam MFE and it covers some of the stochastic calculus (like Ito's Lemma). One of the frequently used results are the so-called "multiplication rules": $(dt)^2=0$ ...
5
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68 views

Upper bounding a Poisson Process with indicators of exponentials

Define $E_1,E_2,\ldots, E_i,\ldots E_n$ as i.i.d. exponentials with parameter $\lambda$. These define processes on some interval $[0,\delta]$ (think of $\delta$ as very small, it will come into play ...
5
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186 views

Generating a stochastic matrix with a given second dominant eigenvalue

I need a procedure (iterative or otherwise) that, given a positive integer $N$ and a (possibly complex) number $\lambda$ such that $0 < \vert \lambda \vert < 1$, will be able to generate an $N ...
5
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95 views

Percolation and number of phases in the 2D Ising model.

Update. As my previous figure had conceptual mistakes I decided to change the picture to another, more instructive After a long time I came back to try to understand an article on the Ising ...
5
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235 views

How to prove Brownian motion is Gaussian Process?

I'm reading Bernt Oksendal's "Stochastic Differential Equations" and this is one of the proof that I'm totally lost. This is from Ch2.2, page 12-13 (sixth edition). First, Brownian motion is ...
5
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85 views

Confusion in the proof of properties for $\psi$-irreducibility

Let $P$ be a stochastic kernel on a measurable space $(\mathsf X,\mathfrak B(\mathsf X))$. The kernel $P$ is called $\varphi$-irreducible if for a positive measure $\varphi$ and for all measurable ...
5
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100 views

Representation theorem for continuous process of finite variation

There is a martingale representation theorem If $M$ is a continuous $L^2$-martingale, there is a Brownian motion $B$ and a cadlag adapted function $\sigma$ such that $$ M_t = M_0 + \int_0^t ...
5
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604 views

1D Random Walk, with different step sizes in each direction.

A walker starts at a defined position greater than $0$, say $A$, and then makes a "decision" to walk either "$b$ steps to the right" or walk "$c$ steps to the left." He will choose the first option ...
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513 views

Ito's lemma and application

Can someone help me apply Ito's lemma to the function $f(t,x,k)$ where t is the time and x,k dimensions where x and k refer to dynamics $dX(t)=\mu(t)dt+\sigma(t)dB(t)$ ...
4
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113 views

6-digit password - a special decoding method

Consider the situation of decoding a 6-digit password that consists of the symbols A to Z and 0 to 9, where all possible combinations are tried randomly and uniformly. Consider the ...
4
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89 views

Dose “optional stopping theorem” imply “optional sampling theorem”?

Suppose $X$ is a martingale,$\tau$ and $\sigma$ are two stopping times which satisfy (a)$\sigma\le\tau$ and (b)the "optional stopping theorem" holds,that is to say: $$\mathbb E[X_\sigma]=\mathbb ...
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51 views

Markov chains and natural filtration

I have the following problem Consider a homogeneous Markov chain $(X_n)$ with countable state set $E$. Suppose that $A$ is a proper subset of $E$ and consider the stopping times $\tau^0=0 $ and ...
4
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144 views

An exercise from Revuz, Yor; equality in distribution of 2 integrals.

Here is the exercise I have been struggling to solve. It is taken from this book by Revuz and Yor: link. Here is the full text of the problem ( Exercise 3.32, chapter 4). Exercise (3.32). Let $B$ and ...
4
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112 views

Determine if this is a Martingale

I am trying to check if the process $S_t$ is a martingale, where $\mathrm dS_t = \frac{I_{S_t > 0}}{S_t} \mathrm dW_t$, $S_0 = 1$. We know that $S_t$ is a local martingale because if we stop it ...
4
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53 views

2-D exponential functional brownian motion

I'm looking for the distribution of $X = \int_0^T e^{-W_t} dt \int_0^T e^{W_t}dt$ and $Y = \frac{\int_0^T e^{-W_t} dt}{ \int_0^T e^{W_t}dt}$ (where $W_t$ is a standard brownian motion) On most ...
4
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136 views

Time scaling of Brownian motion

Let $(B_t)_{t\geq 0}$ be a standard Brownian motion and $A_t$ be an increasing continuous process adapted to the filtration generated by the Brownian Motion and $A_0 = 0$. I am trying to prove ...
4
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133 views

Characterization of the law of a stochastic process by its finite dimensional distributions

Let $(\Omega,\mathcal{A},\mathbb{P})$ a probability space. Let $(X_t)_{t \in [0,T]}$, $(Y_t)_{t \in [0,T]}$ (real-valued) centered Gaussian processes such that the finite dimensional distributions ...
4
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37 views

Intuition on continuty in probability/mean square of a process

How to explain that a process is continuous in probability? I know the definition, but what does it mean? The same with continuity in mean square.
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346 views

Use of Martingale Representation Theorem

I am working on the following problem, and struggling with it. Can anyone help? Let $$H=e^{\int_0^T B_s\,ds}$$ where $T>0$. Show first $E[H^2]<\infty$. Then find an adapted process ...
4
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744 views

Different versions of functional central limit theorem (aka Donsker theorem)?

I have seen several versions of functional central limit theorem (see the end of this post). I am confused, and hope someone could help to clarify their relations and differences. For example, I am ...
4
votes
0answers
174 views

Brownian motion integral

Let $(B_t)$ be a standard Brownian motion, $f$ a continuous function and $X_t = \int_0^t f(s)B_s ds$. I was able to prove that $(X_t)$ is a Gaussian process with zero mean and trying to find the ...
4
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266 views

Can infinitesimal generator be defined by the time-inhomogeneous stochastic process?

The following is the definition of infinitesimal generator from Oksendal. Let $\{X_t,t\in[0,T]\}$ be a time-homogeneous It\^o diffusion in $\mathbb{R}^d$. The $\textit{infinitesimal generator}$ ...
4
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86 views

For $X_{t}=\exp\left\{\left(\mu-r-\frac{\sigma^{2}}{2}\right)t+\sigma W_{t}\right\}$, do we have $\mathbb{E}[\int_{0}^{\tau_{b}}X_{s}dW_{s}]=0$?

Let $X_{t}$ denote the solution to the SDE: $$dX_{t}=(\mu -r)X_t dt+\sigma X_t d W_{t}, \ X_{0}=1$$ i.e. $X_{t}$ is the process: $$X_{t}:=\exp\left\{\left(\mu-r-\frac{\sigma^{2}}{2}\right)t+\sigma ...
4
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146 views

Calculating $\mathbb{E}[\int_0^T N_{t-} dS_t]$ - an expectation of a simple stochastic integral.

I came across some nasty stochastic integral of which I'd like to calculate the expected value" $\mathbb{E}[\int_0^T N_{t-} dS_t]$ where $N_t$ is a Poisson process and $S_t$ is, say, a geometric ...
4
votes
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110 views

Harmonic measure or harmonic kernel

In the theory of discrete-time stochastic processes on a measurable space $(\mathscr X,\mathscr B(\mathscr X))$ one usually starts with a Markov kernel $$ P:\mathscr X\times \mathscr B(\mathscr ...
4
votes
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744 views

First order variation and total variation of a function/stochastic process

The notions of first-order variation and total variation of a function or a stochastic process are equated in this book. However, I found their definitions different from two other sources: In ...
4
votes
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154 views

A Stopping Theorem for Right-Continuous Submartingales

Reading through the book "Brownian Motion & Stochastic Processes" by Karatzas and Shreve, I found the following problem (problem 3.24, page 20): Suppose that $ \{ X_t, \mathcal{F}_t \ | \ 0 \leq ...
4
votes
0answers
172 views

Observable and unobservable parameters of stochastic processes

Consider the following diffusion process $$ dX_t = \mu\,dt+\sigma(t,X_t)\,dW_t $$ where $X,W$ are 1-dimensional and. Is it true that given a history $(X_s,s\leq t)$ for each $s< t$ one can find ...
3
votes
0answers
20 views

Trying to show convergence (in probability) of integrals using Taylor expansion

I've been working for a long time now on how to prove a proposition given in a paper about the asymptotic normality of POT-quantile estimators. Hope somebody can help me out. Proposition (i) Let ...
3
votes
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45 views

A basic measure theory question on Stochastic Process

Let $(Ω, F, P)$ be a probability space, $T$ some index set, and $(S, Σ)$ a measurable space. $X : T × Ω → S$ is a stochastic process, so it is measurable map. Let $S^T$ be the collection of all ...
3
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31 views

Cubature on Wiener space

Suppose $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ diffuses as, $$ dX_t = \mu(X_t)\, dt + \sigma(X_t) \, dW_t $$ and, $$ g(t,x)=\mathbb{E}[g(T,X_T)\vert\mathcal{F}_t] $$ By Feynman-Kac we have, $$ ...
3
votes
0answers
41 views

Why a positive recurrent Markov chain implies positive limiting probability?

Let $X=\{X_0,X_1,\ldots\}$ be an irreducible, positive recurrent, and aperiodic Markov chain with the state space $S=\{0,1,2,\ldots\}$ then how do we show that the probability $$ ...
3
votes
0answers
72 views

Brownian Motion and stochastic integration on the complete real line

I'm struggling to understand stochastic integration over intervals containing zero, i.e. integrals of the form $\int_{a}^{b} X_s \, d B_s$ where $-\infty \leq a < b \leq \infty$, $(X_t)_{t \in ...
3
votes
0answers
27 views

Ultrametric space of stochastic filtration

Let $\Omega$ be an arbitrary set and $(\mathscr F_t)_{t\in \Bbb R_+}$ be a non-decresing sequence of $\sigma$-algebras on $\Omega$ such that any subset of $\Omega$ is contained is some of them, that ...
3
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38 views

Transition kernel that is not Markov

Let $(X,\mathcal{F})$ and $(Y,\mathcal{G})$ be two measurable space. A transition kernel $K$ is a function $K : X \times \mathcal{G} \to \overline{\mathbb{R}}_+$ suche that $K(\cdot,B)$ is measurable ...
3
votes
0answers
70 views

Multipe Ito Integrals

Im working on a Lemma 10.8 in the Book "Numerical Solution of Stochastic Differential Equations by Kloeden And Platen" I have been stuck on one point. Can somebody help me to understand how he moved ...
3
votes
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18 views

Existence of increasing modification

I have the following, seemingly simple question: Consider a stochastic process $(X_t)$ satisfying $X_t\le X_s$ a.s. for all $t\le s.$ My question is: Does there exist a modification $\tilde{X}$ of ...
3
votes
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73 views

determine type of probability distribution

let us consider following model $$y(t)=A_1 \sin(\omega_1 t+\phi_1) + A_2 \sin(\omega_2 t+\phi_2) + A_3 \sin(\omega_3 t+\phi_3)+ \ldots +A_p \sin(\omega_p t+\phi_p)+z(t)$$ we have three parameter ...
3
votes
0answers
17 views

Continuity in $x$ of $E^x \int_0^{\tau} f(X_t)dt$

Suppose I have a stochastic diffusion $X$. I am studying an expression of the form $u(x):=E^x\int_0^\tau f(X_t)dt$ where $\tau$ is the exit time of $X$ from my bounded open domain $D$. I am also ...