A stochastic, or random, process describes the correlation or evolution of random events. It is used to model stock market fluctuations and electronic/audio-visual/biological signals. Among the most well-known stochastic processes are random walks and Brownian motion.

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Cubature on Wiener space

Suppose $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ diffuses as, $$ dX_t = \mu(X_t)\, dt + \sigma(X_t) \, dW_t $$ and, $$ g(t,x)=\mathbb{E}[g(T,X_T)\vert\mathcal{F}_t] $$ By Feynman-Kac we have, $$ ...
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Find the pdf of $C(X)$

Suppose that the probability of $x=0$ is $p$, and the probability of $x=1$ is $1-p=q$. Consider the random sequence $X=\{X_i\}_{i=1}^{\infty}$. We map this sequence by $C$ to a point in the interval ...
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Processes adapted to time changes

I have a question regarding a passage in Chapter X of "Calcul Stochastique et Problèmes de Martingales"J.Jacod(1979). In (10.13) they define an adapted process $X$ to the time change $\tau(t)$ as a ...
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$E[e_te_s\Delta B_t\Delta B_s]$ for $\Delta B_t$ Brownian motion increments and $e_t(\omega)$ a measurable function.

Let $\Delta B_j=B_{t_{j+1}}-B_{t_j}$ where $B_t$ is Brownian motion, and $e_i(\omega)$ measurable with respect to $\sigma(B_{t_i})$. In Oksendal's 'Stochastic Differential Equations' he states: $$ ...
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Expected Return, Expected Value, and an Ito Process

I am reading John Hull's "Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives". I am currently in Ch. 31 on the HJM Model. Hull makes a statement which a need an explanation for. First, some notation. Let ...
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9 views

Comparing frequencies in stationary distribution

Do there exist theorems for comparing frequencies in the stationary distribution of a (say) aperiodic, positive recurrent Markov chain? i.e. given the transition probability matrix $\mathbf{P}$ with ...
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13 views

Transition matrix to graph

Is there a program which can given a transition matrix $P$ draw a graph from a it? The transition matrix is also known as stochastic matrix and probability matrix see ...
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1answer
9 views

proof T is a stopping time

let $X(t) $ is a stochastic process and is cadlag and adapted, let $T = \inf\{t:|X(t)| \ge c\}$, proof T is a stopping time. i.e.$\{T\le t\} \in F_t$
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26 views

Expected Service Times for truncated exponential

I'm trying to solve a problem where all arriving items (arrival exponential $\lambda = 1/5$) are divided into into groups, those who are served within 5 units of time and those who have their service ...
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14 views

Is this application of the law of total probability correct?

Let us consider a counting process $N(t)_{t\geq0}$ which is neither Markovian nor Levy. Is it correct to write $$ \mathbb{P}(N(t)=j)=\int_{0}^{t}\mathbb{P}(N(t)=j, N(s)=i)ds $$ for $j\geq 1$ and ...
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Convergence of the sum of two stochastic processes

I've one question regarding the convergence of the sum of two stochastic processes. Let $(X^n_{t})_t \rightarrow (X_t)_t$ and $(Y^n_{t})_t \rightarrow (Y_t)_t$ for $n \to \infty$ where $\rightarrow$ ...
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What are difference among natural boundary, exit boundary, regular boundary and killing boundary??

In the paper i'm reading, they used the terminologies, natural boundary, exit boundary, regular boundary and killing boundary. I can't find the difference of them and definition of them. Tell me ...
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1answer
25 views

Expectation over 2 random variables, help needed

Hi I am new here and I hope I can get some help. My question is about taking expectation over random variables. Lets say I have two random variables $\Xi$ and $\theta$ where $\Xi$ is for example a ...
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1answer
27 views

Paley Wiener stochastic integral

Sorry for the stupid question, no answers necessary anymore! let $(B_t)_{t\in [0,1]}$ be a standard Brownian motion and $F\in C[0,1]$ differentiable. Then the sequence (which is an easy version of ...
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1answer
20 views

What is the expected number of flips that are needed?

Suppose we flip a fair coin repeatedly until we have flipped four consecutive heads. What is the expected number of flips that are needed? The hint is given is as follows: Consider a Markov chain ...
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1answer
20 views

A Question on the Scaling Invariance of Brownian Motion

I read the following paragraph. Let $B_t, \ t \in [0, \infty)$ be a standard linear Brownian motion. For each $q > 4$, define the following sequence of sets. $$ \Omega_k := \left\{\omega \in ...
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19 views

Question about the Poisson process

A service center consists of two servers, each working at an exponential rate of two services per hour. If customers arrive at a Poisson rate of three per hour, then, assuming a system capacity of ...
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19 views

Cameron Martin Theorem

I am struggling with two versions of the Cameron Martin Theorem. 1) We define the measure spaces $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},P)$ and $(C[0,1],\mathcal{C},\mathbb{L}_0)$, where $\mathcal{C}:=\sigma(f\mapsto ...
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1answer
22 views

Expectation of a powered complex circular gaussian process

Assuming a complex circular zero-mean gaussian random process (or vector) $\textbf{x}$ $\left(\textbf{x}\sim \mathcal{CN}\left(0,\sigma^2\right)\right)$. $\mathbb{E}\{\textbf{x}\}=0$. The question ...
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Function of Nakagami Distribution

Does anyone know what the distribution of the sum of squared Nakagami is? $$\sum_i^n X_i^2$$ $$X_i\sim \text{Complex Nakagami-m }$$ Is the distribution Erlang? Is the distribution the same as ...
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What is the magnitude of Complex random variable Gaussian Case?

Let $X_1$ and $X_2$ be independent complex Gaussian random variables, $$X_1 \sim \mathcal{CN}(0,\sigma)$$ $$X_2 \sim \mathcal{CN}(0,\sigma)$$ If $X= aX_1 + bX_2$ where $a,b$ are constants then the ...
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22 views

Predictable process with stopping time

I would be very gratefull if someone could help me with my question below. Intuitivly I can see that it is correct but I am unsure of how to prove it. Let T be a stopping time in $\mathcal{F}_t$ for ...
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Hitting time of two dimensional continuous martingale

Let $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, P)$ be a probability space, on which $\mathcal{F}_t$ is filtration satisfying general conditions. $W_{t}=\left(W_{t}^{1},W_{t}^{2}\right)^{T}$ is a two dimensional Brownian ...
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Convergence in $L^2(\Omega\times (0,T))$

Let $$f_i=\exp(\int_0^T h_i(s)\,{\rm d}W_s-1/2\int_0^T h^2_i(s)\,{\rm d}s)$$ where $W_s$ is a brownian motion in a probability space $(\Omega,F,P) $ and $h_i\in L^2(0,T) $. Suppose $F_n\to F$ in ...
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Stochastic processes on group-valued variables

I have had this question in my head for a long time, and if I don't find out the answer I may explode. So I'm familiar with a basic Ito process, let's say: $dX_t = \mu d t + \sigma d Z_t$. There ...
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26 views

Kolmogorov zero-one law in continuous time?

Let $(X_t : t \geq 0)$ be a stochastic process. Is it necessarily the case that $$P (\limsup_{t \geq 0} X_t \leq a) \in \{ 0,1\}$$ as it is in discrete time? If some conditions are needed on the ...
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19 views

Verifying solution of difference equation?

I have the following difference equation - $2h_{x+1} - 5h + 2h_{x-1} = 0$ for $x = 1, 2, ...., 19$ The boundary conditions are $h_0 = 1$ and $h_{20} = 0$ How would I go about verifying that $h_x = ...
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24 views

Functional representation of adapted jointly measurable stochastic processes

Let $X_t : \Omega \to E, \ t \geq 0$ be continuous-time stochastic process with (Polish) state space $E$ and canonical filtration $\mathcal{F}_t := \sigma(X_u \ | \ u \leq t)$. Let $Y_t : \Omega \to ...
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15 views

How Do I Find The Permanent of a Double Stochastic Matrix n * n size

I am reading a book on Stochastic Models, and I don't understand this practice questions: A doubly stochastic n × n matrix S has all entries equal to 1/n. The permament of a n × n matrx A is ...
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53 views

Hermite Polynomials and Brownian motion

I am asked to prove the following : Let $B_t$ be a standard brownian motion. The $n$th Hermite polynomial is $\displaystyle H_n(t,x)=\frac{(−t)^n}{n!} e^{x^2/(2t)} \frac{d^n}{dx^n}e^{-x^2/(2t)}$. ...
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1answer
12 views

Stochastic Differential equation, expectation and variance

The process is given by $$dU_t=-\gamma U_t\mathrm{d}t+\sigma\mathrm{d}X_t$$ where $U_0 = u$ and $\gamma, \sigma$ are constants. Can you help me out to solve the equation for $U_t$ and find the ...
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1answer
43 views

Integral with respect to brownian motion

Let $f$ be a continuous function on $[0,\infty)$ and $B_t$ be a standard Brownian motion. Define $X_t=\int_0^t f(s) dB(s).$ a) Show that $X_t$ is Gaussian and computer its covariance $C(X_s, X_t)$ ...
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26 views

Measure Preserving tranformation of the space of brownian paths

Let $O$ be an orthogonal transformation of $L2_{[0,\infty)}$. Let $1_{[0,1]}$ be the indicator function for $0 \leq s \leq t$. Also let $B(t)$ be a standard brownian motion. Define $W(t) = ...
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1answer
37 views

A question on independence of increments

How could I prove the following? Let $X=(X_t)_{t \in[0,1]}$ be a real-valued stochastic process on a probability space $(\Omega,F,P)$ with $X_0=0$ a.s Show that the following statement as are ...
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1answer
35 views

Battery lifetime as normal distribution?

I want to model battery lifetime, which decrements continuously at every epoch (i.e., work-cycle) in the following way. So it takes values such as 100, 99.7, 99.3, 99.2, ... 0 (a continuous random ...
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80 views

“Back to square one” problem

There's a problem I've been stuck on in preparation for junior programming contest I'm going to participate in. It is as follows: The "back to square one" problem is played on a board that has ...
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29 views

stochastic model [closed]

I am trying to simulate a model using ssa for a selection of initial values and be able to discuss the results. can anyone let me know if my code make sense? Basically, it's a simple SIR model over ...
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1answer
22 views

Equivalent Stopping Times for Brownian Motions

For standard Brownian motion $B$, define stopping time $T_1:=\inf\{t>0: B_t = 3\}$ and $T_2:=\inf\{t>0: B_t = -3\}$ and $T_3 := \min\{T_1, T_2\}$. Can I say that $T_3 = \inf\{t>0, B_t \in ...
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1answer
22 views

How do we compute the mean time spent in transient states of a Markov Chain?

Let $X=\{X_n\}$ be a finite state Markov Chain with the state space $S = \{0,1,2,...,N\}$ such that all the states are transient. The following is the transition matrix. $$ P = \left[\begin{matrix} ...
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10 views

Testing numerical solvers with analytic solution to Ornstein-Uhlenbeck SDE?

I have an SDE I want to solve numerically that is fairly close to the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process: $$ dx_t=θ(μ−x_t)dt+σdW_t $$ which has analytic solution $$ ...
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23 views

Integrated Brownian motion: independent stationary increments?

Let $B_t$, $t\in [0,T]$ be a $d$-dimensional standard Brownian motion. Let $\sigma:[0,T] \rightarrow \mathbb R^{d\times d}$ be a deterministic function such that $$\sigma(u) = diag( \sigma_1(u), \dots ...
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75 views

Laplace transform stopping time

Consider a stochastic differential equation: $$\frac{dX}{dt} = b + \sigma \frac{dW}{dt}, X(0) = x$$ where $b,\sigma$ are constant, $x \in [0,1]$, and $W$ is a Wiener process. Let $\tau = \inf \{ t ...
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Sub-Martingale and Martingale

An integrable sub-martingale $S_t$ with $\mathbb E(S_t)$ being a constant is a martingale. Is this statement true, please? I think so.
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39 views

Is this Stochastic integral a martingale ?

Let $(B_t)$ be a Brownian motion and set $X_t = \int_0^t B_t^2 dB_s$. Is $X_t$ martingale? My idea is to rewrite $X_t$ in terms of Ito's Formula $(f(x) = \frac{1}{3}x^3)$ $X_t = \int_0^t B_t^2 dB_s ...
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1answer
16 views

Brownian Motion and Progressive Process

Let $B_t$ be a Brownian motion. Define sign function as follows. $sign(0) = 0$ and $sign(x) = \frac{x}{|x|}, \forall x \neq 0$. I do not know how to show the following two questions, especially on the ...
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1answer
19 views

Stopping Time and Brownian Motion [closed]

Let $B_t$ be a Brownian motion. Let $a < 0 < b$. Consider $\tau: = \min\{T_a, T_b\}$ where $T_a := \inf\{s \geq 0: B_s \leq a\}$ and $T_b := \inf\{s \geq 0: B_s \geq b\}$, namely, the first ...
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9 views

Simulating a continous time, inhomogenous Markov chain

What algorithms are used to simulate a time-continous, inhomogenous Markov chain? For the homogenous case, I've found (among others) this reference, which contains a few exact and approximative ...
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15 views

Piecewise homogeneous Poisson process

Is there a name for a Poisson process which is piecewise homogeneous? I.e. time-homogeneous but with a parameter change each increment. Any references appreciated.
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32 views

Stochastic Processes, requirement at ''source" probability space, is it always an product over $T$?

Let $(\Omega, \mathcal F, P)$ be a probability space, and let $(S, \mathcal S)$ a set $S$ together with a $\sigma$-Algebra over $S$, also let $T$ be some index set, then for each $t \in T$ let $X_t : ...
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Determining Bounds of a Generating Function of a Stopping Time [duplicate]

Consider the diffusion process $$DX_t=b(X_t)dt+\sigma(X_t)dW_t$$ where $\sigma\sigma*$ is positive definite and $b, \sigma$ are smooth and bounded. Given a one-dimensional domain bounded from 1 side ...