# Tagged Questions

This tag is for basic questions about probability and for questions in which one wants to calculate a probability, expected value, variance, standard deviation, or similar quantity. For questions about the theoretical footing of probability (especially using measure theory), please ask under (...

194 views

109 views

### Probability that one part of a randomly cut equilateral triangle covers the other without flipping

At Probability that one part of a randomly cut equilateral triangle covers the other, the case with flipping allowed was quickly solved. The case without flipping seems more difficult and hasn't been ...
60 views

### At what rate does the entropy of shuffled cards converge?

Consider a somewhat primitive method of shuffling a stack of $n$ cards: In every step, take the top card and insert it at a uniformly randomly selected one of the $n$ possible positions above, between ...
138 views

### What is the probability that the Golden State Warriors will break the NBA regular season record of wins?

There are $82$ games in a regular season, and the current record is held by the Chicago Bulls, at 72-10. As of yesterday (March 4th 2016), the GSW season performance stood at 55-5. Assuming they ...
62 views

### What is the probability of a pen touching a bar given that the length of the pen is $10$ cm and the bars are regularly spaced at $15$ cm?

Problem: If a pen of length $10$ cm is thrown out of infinitely large window having vertical bars regularly spaced at $15$ cm, then find the probability that it will touch any of the bars. (Assume ...
181 views

### Bingo probability of a tie with 20 players

Assume "standard" bingo (75 numbers) with the columns ranging the following inclusive "semi-random" values B: 1 to 15, I: 16 to 30, N: 31 to 45, G: 46 to 60, O: 61 to 75. By semi-random I mean ...
77 views

### Conditional expectation involving some complications around exponential random variables

Here is my problem. Consider four independent exponential distributions $X^A_1$, $X^B_1$, $X^A_2$, $X^B_2$ where $X^A_1$ and $X^B_1$ are $exp(\lambda_1)$ and $X^A_2$ and $X^B_2$ are $exp(\lambda_2)$. ...
173 views

### Normalizing factor for product of Gaussian densities - interpretation with Bayes theorem

The normalizing factor for the product of two multivariate Gaussian densities, $f(x)$ and $g(x)$ with mean vectors $a$ and $b$ respectively, and covariance matrices $A$ and $B$ respectively, is itself ...
117 views

48 views

### Poisson: Conditional Probability on Pizza order

I am not sure about my answer. In particular, part b of the following question. Pizza orders arrive according to a Poisson process of rate 20 per hour. Orders are independently for a vegetarian ...
37 views

### Let $X,Y$ have the same distribution on common prob space, do they generate same $\sigma$-algebra?

So let $X,Y$ be real random variables on common probability space $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, P)$, the measures on Borel $(\mathbb{R},\mathcal{B}_{\mathbb{R}})$ induced by $X$ and $Y$ are equal, that is ...
69 views

Given random variables $X,Y,Z$,and $\phi(.)$ denoting the characteristic function, I can see that the following is true when $Z$ is independent of $X,Y$: $|\phi_{X+Z,Y} (t, s) − \phi_{X+Z}(t)f_{Y} (s)|... 0answers 44 views ### Poisson Process: indepedent increment Let$\{N(t): t\geq0\}$be a Poisson process of rate$\lambda$, and let$S_n$denote the time until the$n_{th}$event occurs. compute$P(S_3>5|N(2)=1)$Attempt: Notice that$P(S_3>5)=P(N(5)&...
Roots of the quadratic equation $x^2+5x+3=0$ are $4\sin^2\alpha+a$ and $4\cos^2\alpha+a$. Another quadratic equation is $x^2+px+q=0$ where $p,q\in\mathbb{N}$ and $p,q\in[1,10]$. Find the probability ...
I have a machine. It has two states, broken or working. If it is working, then it will be broken with probability $q=0.1$. If the machine is working, I will make \\$1000 dollar a day. If it is broken, ...