Tagged Questions

This tag is for basic questions about probability and for questions in which one wants to calculate a probability, expected value, variance, standard deviation, or similar quantity. For questions about the theoretical footing of probability (especially using measure theory), please ask under ...

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I roll a fair die repeatedly until I get $6$, what is the probability that neither $1$ nor $2$ occurs before $6$ appears.

I roll fair a die repeatedly until I get $6$, what is the probability that neither $1$ nor $2$ occurs before $6$ appears. Not sure how to go about this.
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Conceptual Statistics. Define for this problem, population, Samples and Estimators, and when is Normal Dist?

Students in Stanford are supposed to spend on average 3 hours of time per week for every credit hour they take. Last year, 263 randomly selected seniors were contacted and asked how much total time ...
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Probability of an even number of sixes

We throw a fair die $n$ times, show that the probability that there are an even number of sixes is $\frac{1}{2}[1+(\frac{2}{3})^n]$. For the purpose of this question, 0 is even. I tried doing ...
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Poisson Counting Insurancee example [on hold]

An insurance company finds that for a certain group of insured driver , the number of accidents over each 24 hours period rises from midnight to noon and then declines until the following ...
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How do you picture: $\Pr(B|A)$ shrunk down by $\Pr(A)$?

Though understanding these diagrams, I do not understand how to visualise the following explanation: $\color{green}{[P1.]}$ Suppose you were to grab the edges of $A$ and stretch it out so it ...
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Probability: Finding the Number of Apples Given Two Scenarios

You have a bag containing 20 apples, 10 oranges, and an unknown number of pears. If the probability that you select 2 apples and 2 oranges is equal to the probability that you select 1 apple, 1 ...
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What is the probability that when a deck of cards is shuffled and dealt, exactly 3 of the 4 aces will be dealt within the last 20 cards?

I am trying to figure out this problem, I think that it is a "permutations with repetition" type of question.
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Given any 40 people, at least four of them were born in the same month of the year [on hold]

Given any 40 people, at least four of them were born in the same month of the year. Why is this true?
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The “how many pieces do you have buy on average” problem, a markov problem?

I recently discovered a problem similar to this one in a book about Markov chains: Assume you can buy $n-$ different set of cards in a store, but you do not know which one you'll buy: What is the ...
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If $P$ is a transition matrix, and $m_{ij}$ the mean return time, how to show $m_{ij} = 1+ \sum_{k \neq j}P_{ik}m_{kj}$?

If $P$ is a transition probability matrix of a finite state regular Markov Chain, and $m_{ij}$ is the mean return time, how can I show that $m_{ij} = 1+ \sum_{k \neq j}P_{ik}m_{kj}$? It seems rather ...
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Monotone convergence and uniform integrability: an application.

If $E[X_n] < \infty$ for $n = 1,2,\ldots,\infty$ and $X_n$ increases to $X_ \infty$ almost everywhere. Prove that $$E\left[|X_n - X_\infty|\right]\to 0$$ as $n$ tends to $\infty$. Here's what ...
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Show $(\int_{-\infty}^\infty \sqrt{p}\sqrt{q}d\mu)^2\leq 2 \int_{-\infty}^\infty \min\{p,q\}d\mu$

Consider a random variable $X$ in $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, \mathbb{P})$. Let $p,q$ be two densities with respect to a measure $\mu$ in $(\mathbb{R}, \mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}))$ where ...
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A total of $M$ balls are divided between two urns A and B. A ball is chosen uniformly at random. If it is chosen from urn A then it is placed in urn B with probability $b$ and otherwise it is returned ...
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Probability mass function of the sum of the function of the sum of iid random variables

How can I get an expression of the probability mass function of: $$Y_i=\sum_{k=1}^i f\left(\sum_{n=1}^{k} X_n\right)$$ being $x_n, n=1,2,...$ iid random variables and ...
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Let $E(X)=\mu$ and $\operatorname{Var}(X)=\sigma^2$. If $E(Y|X)=a+bX$, find $E(XY)$ as a function of $\mu$ and $\sigma$.

I can't figure out the answer for a question on my econometrics course. Somehow it seems simple, but still I can't seem to figure it out. Maybe I am thinking the wrong way about it. Could someone ...
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How to I find the distribution of $\log p(X)$ given an $X$ drawn from $p$?

I have a feeling there's no general solution to this problem, but I'll ask anyway. I have a multivariate PDF $p$ and, given a random vector $X\sim p$, I'd like to find the the PDF of $\log p(X)$. ...
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Calculate the characteristic function $\varphi_W$ of W

$p(x)=xe^{-x}$ for $x\geq 0$ or $0$ otherwise. I tried to substitute $e^{-x}$ but then i found there is still a $x$ in front.
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Find the distribution of $Y = -\log (1-X)$ given that $X\sim U(0,1)$.

If $X \sim U (0,1)$ then if we define a new random variable $Y=-\log (1-X)$ then what will be distribution of $Y$. Please explain.
If $P(X_1 < X_2)$, what is $P(X_1 < X_2 \cap X_1 < X_3)$?
Say $X_i$ can have a real value in the range [1,100]. All $X_i$ are independent of each other and all values are equally likely. So then $\mathbb{P}(X_1 < X_2) = \frac{1}{2}$, right? But then, ...
Find a continuous PDF on $[0,6]$ for given probabilities
Find a continuous probability density function $f$ on $[0,6]$, such that $\mathbb{P}([0,2]) = 0.6$, $\mathbb{P}([1,4]) = 0.5$ and $\mathbb{P}([3,5]) = 0.2$. After some calculations I came up with ...