Use this tag only if your question is about the modern theoretical footing for probability, for example probability spaces, random variables, law of large numbers, and central limit theorems. Use [tag:probability] instead for specific problems and explicit computations. Use ...

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Properties Least Mean Fourth Error

I am interested in whether a quantity \begin{align*} E[(X-E[X|Y])^4] \end{align*} has been studied in the literature before. I am not even sure if "least mean fourth error" is a correct name, since ...
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Conditional expectation $\mathbb E\left(\exp\left(\int_0^tX_sdB_s\right) \mid \mathcal F_t^X\right)$

I have found a theorem (see below) in two papers an I try to figure how it could be proved. The result seems to be intuitive, but I'm not able to prove it in a rigorous way. Assumptions: Consider a ...
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Optional stopping/sampling for right-continuous supermartingales

Let $\mathbb{F}$ be a filtration $(X_t)_{t\ge 0}$ be a right-continuous $\mathbb{F}$-supermartingale $\sigma,\tau$ be bounded $\mathbb{F}$-stopping times with $\sigma\le \tau$ and ...