0
votes
0answers
12 views

Total boundness of Lipschitz densities

In the article Almost Sure Testability of Classes of Densities by Devroye and Lugosi in 1999. They claim in Example 10 (page 9) that Lipschitz densities on [0,1] with Lipschitz constant bounded by ...
0
votes
1answer
15 views

How to solve disjoint probability problem?

Suppose the two events “high” and “low” make a disjoint partition of a sample space and “favourable” is any event. If P(high) = 0.3, P(low) = 0.7, P(favourable| high) = 0.9 and P(unfavorable| low) = ...
1
vote
2answers
25 views

(What is the formula to find) What is the probability that the sum of the numbers on the tickets chosen is at least 7?

Senario: Box A contains four equal-sized tickets, numbered 1, 2, 3 ,4 Box B contains three tickets of the same size, numbered 4, 5, 6 An experiment consists of selecting one ticket from the box A ...
1
vote
0answers
17 views

L1 error for scale/translation classes

This is an example given in the article about testability (Devroye and Lugosi 1990). First will introduce my problem, given that we have a density class $\mathcal{F}$ that consists of density ...
1
vote
0answers
24 views

Properties of the essential supremum

In the article about testability of densities (Devroye and Lugosi 1999). They use some properties of the essential supremum I cannot find. First we have to assume that we have a class of density ...
3
votes
1answer
53 views

Example of non continuous random variable with continuous CDF

Can someone provide an example of $X$ being a non-continuous random variable with continuous cumulative distribution function? For instance: $X$ is discrete if it takes (at most) a countable number ...
0
votes
0answers
40 views

What did I do wrong when using Jacobian transformation

A device containing two key components fails when, and only when, both components fail. The lifetimes, $T_1$ and $T_2$, of these components are independent with common density function $f (t) = ...
0
votes
2answers
32 views

probability of a flipped coin

A fair coin is flipped three times. Let $A$ be the event that a head occurs in the first flip and $B$ be the event that exactly one head occurs. a) Find $p(A/B)$ b) Are $A$ and $B$ independent? ...
-1
votes
2answers
32 views

If pages in a book have an iid Poisson number of errors, in 10 pages what is the probability that exactly 3 pages have exactly 1 error?

Suppose the number of spelling error on any given page in particular book can be modeled by a Poisson distribution with $\lambda=2$, and assume that the number of errors on different pages is ...
-1
votes
0answers
39 views

Choosing random marbles until one is divisible by $X$ [on hold]

A box contains twelve marbles on which they are numbered by $1,2,3,...,12$. Now let $X$ represent the number of marbles you must choose with replacement until you obtain one with a number that is ...
0
votes
0answers
26 views

What is the optimal prize for a prize ticket in a raffle [on hold]

What, if any is the optimal price for a prize ticket given the value of a prize? For example if you were to raffle a TV and wanted to cover the cost of the prize? Let say the people were aware of how ...
0
votes
0answers
35 views

Kelly criterion for 3 outcomes

I have been exploring the Kelly criterion for optimizing the bet size for a two outcome bet situation. I'm having trouble applying this to a three outcome bet. I may refer to this excellent thread: ...
2
votes
2answers
69 views

Sum of normally distributed independent random variables, where one has a different (exponential) unit

$$X \sim \mathcal{N}(\mu_X,\,\sigma_X^2)$$ $$Y \sim \mathcal{N}(\mu_Y,\,\sigma_Y^2)$$ $\mu_X$ and $\sigma_X$ have unit decibel watt ($\text{dBW}$); $\mu_Y$ and $\sigma_Y$ have unit watt ($\text{W}$). ...
2
votes
1answer
38 views

A question about Malliavin calculus

An application of Malliavin calculus is to calculate the sensitivity of financial Greeks. However, as in the theory of Malliavin calculus, to take the derivative of a random variable, we need to ...
0
votes
1answer
22 views

Polynomial joint pdf $f(x,y)$ such that of $f(x) \neq f(y)$

How can I build a polynomial joint pdf $f(x,y)$ for $x \in [x_1, x_2]$ and $y \in [y_1, y_2]$ such that of $f(x) \neq f(y)$ or equivalently, $x$ and $y$ are depended on each other?
5
votes
4answers
131 views

What is the difference between $E[X\mid Y]$ vs $E[X\mid Y=y]$ and some of the properties of $E[X \mid Y]$?

I was trying to understand both intuitively and rigorously what the difference between $E[X\mid Y]$ vs $E[X\mid Y=y]$. Let me tell you first the things that do make sense to me. $E[X\mid Y=y]$ makes ...
0
votes
1answer
36 views

Show that $Pr[X \gg Y]\approx 1$

Can one show (and how) that $$Pr[X \gg Y]\approx 1$$ for $$X:=\sum_{i=1}^k Bin\left(n\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^i,i\right)$$ and $$Y:=\sum_{i=k+1}^{\infty} ...
0
votes
0answers
61 views

Prove $Pr[X + Y \geq x] \sim Pr[X \geq x]$

We have two independent random variables $X_n$ and $Y_n$, where $$X_n=\sum_{i=0}^n x_i$$ and $$Y_n=\sum_{j=0}^n y_j,$$ where $x_i$,$y_j$ are (non-identically) Bernoulli distributed and independent. ...
1
vote
2answers
92 views

What is the probability of going bankrupt in roulette?

Imagine that the bank has the money $M_1$ and the player has the money $M_2$. The rules are the following: You win with a chance of $\frac{17}{36}$ and lose with $\frac{19}{36}$ each round. Now you ...
1
vote
0answers
30 views

On an existence of a real-valued measurable function on a non-atomic probability measure space [duplicate]

Suppose that $(X,E,μ)$ is a non-atomic probability measure space. Let $\xi :X \to \mathbb{R}$ be a random variable. A Borel measure $\mu_{\xi}$ in $\mathbb{R}$ defined by ...
1
vote
0answers
38 views

Joint probability of 3 random variables when their pairwise difference is given

Consider 3 discrete random variables $X_1,X_2,X_3$ defined over $\{0..T\}$, which are identically and uniformly distributed.They are correlated in the sense that their pairwise difference has a unique ...
2
votes
2answers
42 views

Probability that exactly 2 of 3 objects are in 1 of 3 baskets with sizes 5, 8, 2

I want to calculate the probability that some mutation occurs on a certain DNA section by a given number mutations. I rephrased it into this problem: Three (identical) persons enter a train (section ...
1
vote
2answers
73 views

Partial sum of binomial

I 'm trying to figure out a closed form solution for the following summation: $\sum_{j=0}^{\omega} j{n \choose j}p^{j}(1-p)^{n-j}$ where $\omega < n$ Is there any closed form solution?
0
votes
0answers
41 views

Special case of Kullback-Leibler additivity

I have three random variables $X,Y,Z$. If $(X,Z)$ are an independent pair and $(Y,Z)$ are an independent pair, then the additive property of the Kullback-Leibler divergence says $K(X,Z|Y,Z) = K(X|Y) ...
2
votes
1answer
40 views

Expected Payment under limited policy

The unlimited severity distribution for claim amounts under an auto liability insurance policy is given by the cumulative distribution: $$ F(x) = 1 - 0.8e^{-0.02x}-0.2e^{-0.001x} , x \geq 0$$ ...
0
votes
1answer
35 views

Question about exp. distribution

We know that $X\sim \exp(1),Y\sim \exp(2)$ and they are independent. What is $P(Y>X)$? exp=Exponential... Thank you!
0
votes
1answer
26 views

Need help with P(D) in a Bayesian model

So I've been reading about Bayesian models so I tried I'd have a toy example I could play with. Consider the following: You are at a bus stop and you observe the bus arriving at various times $t_1, ...
1
vote
2answers
29 views

What is Cumulative Binomial probabilities?

I am new to this so don't know if I am asking the right question as I just read about its usage but didn't know what exactly a Cumulative Binomial probability is. So my question is, What is ...
0
votes
2answers
282 views

Two groups A and B are playing a game…

Two groups A and B are playing a game. The first group that wins 3 times is the winner. The probability that group A will win at on game is $\frac12$ and the same thing for group B. $X$ = The number ...
0
votes
0answers
42 views

Is the following probability distribution stationary/constant

For a conservative system, we know that angular momentum, $l$, and total energy, $E$, are constant, i.e. $\dot{l}=\frac{dl}{dt} = 0$ and $\dot{E}=\frac{dE}{dt} = 0$, where $t$ indicates time. Let ...
1
vote
1answer
39 views

Find Limiting Distribution of $|X_n|$

Let $Z_1,Z_2,...,Z_n,...$ be a sequence of independent standard normal random variables. Let $X_n=\sum^n_{k=1}\frac{Z_k}{\sqrt{k}}$. Does the limiting distribution of $|X_n|$ exists? If yes, find it; ...
-1
votes
2answers
29 views

We are making a Bernoulli experiment…

We are making series of independent Bernoulli experiment with $\frac13$ chance to success. What is the probability that we got success at the first experiment, if we know that we get two successes at ...
0
votes
3answers
278 views

What is the probability that A will win…

Two players are rolling two dices, if they get 6 Player A wins, if they get 7, player B wins, else they rolling the two dices again... What is the probability that A will win? I'd like to get any ...
0
votes
1answer
33 views

Method of moments for Beta $(\alpha_1,\alpha_2)$ distribution

I am trying to solve for the first two moments of a Beta$(\alpha_1,\alpha_2)$ distribution. We know that the first moment is equal to: $\mu_1 = \frac{\alpha_1}{\alpha_1+\alpha_2}$ and the second ...
3
votes
1answer
50 views

Prove Number of Arrivals $N(s)$ up to time $s$ follows $\mathrm{Poisson}(\lambda s)$ Distribution

This comes from my self-study of Durrett's "Essentials of Stochastic Processes" book, page 97. Definition Let $\tau_1,\tau_2,\ldots$ be independent $\mathrm{exponential}(\lambda)$ random variables. ...
1
vote
2answers
32 views

Need help understanding the difference between a.s. convergence and convergence in probability.

I have problem understanding the difference when I look at the alternative definition of a.s. convergence. I know how it is defined originally, but it is the alternative definition which makes it ...
2
votes
1answer
107 views

Deducing an optimal gambling strategy (using martingales).

Apologies in advance for the length, I tried being precise. Suppose a game where in each turn you can gamble a certain amount of money on the result of a fair coin toss. If the coin comes out tails ...
-1
votes
1answer
23 views

Asymoptotic distribution of identically distributed random variables [closed]

$Y_1, Y_2, ..., Y_N$ are independent and identically distributed random variables with the distribution function $F := F_{Y_1}$ and $F'_n(y) = \frac{1}{n}\sum_{i=1}^{n}\mathbf{1}_{\{Y_i \leq x\}}$ as ...
2
votes
0answers
55 views

How is conditional probability being used here?

Because of conditional probability: $P(A\mid B)=P(A,B)/P(B)$, $$P(C(t)\in dt\mid x(T^+_{i-1}),x(T^-_{i}))=\dfrac{P(C(t)\in dt,x(T^-_{i})\in dx\mid x(T^+_{i-1}))}{P(x(T^-_{i})\in dx\mid ...
0
votes
1answer
67 views

What will be probability of this problem? [closed]

given a string S. It is N characters long and consists of only 1s and 0s. Now Given an integer K, we have to pick two indices i and j at random between 1 and N, both inclusive. What's the probability ...
2
votes
1answer
46 views

I need help understanding this proof about convergence in distribution

The proof says that we used the fact that $(1-\epsilon)^\frac{x}{\epsilon} \rightarrow e^{-x}$ Why is this so? How do I prove this? Also, why do we need the fact that $\lfloor x/p_n \rfloor - ...
0
votes
0answers
25 views

differential equation with random coefficient

I am confused with a problem I encountered at hand, not on how to work on it but rather understanding the problem itself: Let $A(x;\omega)$ be a random field taking values in $[a,b]$ where $a,b < ...
3
votes
1answer
48 views

Upper Bound on Mutual Information

I am interested in an upper bound on mutual information that I have been encountering frequently in the statistics and probability literature. I have yet to see the "purest" form of the inequality, so ...
0
votes
0answers
12 views

Error of a Serial Processs

Give random variable X and two processes A, B . Assume that $ Y_{1}, Y_{2}$ are estimated versions of X by using processes A, B respectively, with probability: $P\left \{ \left | X-Y_{1} \right ...
4
votes
2answers
86 views

Easy way to compute $Pr[\sum_{i=1}^t X_i \geq z]$

We have a set of $t$ independent random variables $X_i \sim \mathrm{Bin}(n_i, p_i)$. We know that $$\mathrm{Pr}[X_i \geq z] = \sum_{j=z}^{\infty} { n_i \choose j } p_i^j (1-p_i)^{n_i -j}.$$ But is ...
0
votes
0answers
18 views

When do almost all random variables attain the expectation?

Given some sample space $\Omega$ I choose uniformly at random some $X \in \Omega$. Assume that I know the expected value $\mathbb{E}(X)$. What are the further conditions I need if I want to talk ...
1
vote
1answer
37 views

measure of dependence for copula

I have some question about the paper of Schweizer and Wolff (1981). The question concerns about the following bound $$\int_0^1\int_0^1|C(u,v)-uv|\,du\,dv\leq\frac{1}{12}$$ where $C$ is any copula. ...
1
vote
0answers
35 views

Intuition in probability theory

Good afternoon. Could you please suggest me some books or may be articles where I can read about the intuition of Kolmogorov's axiomatics. I know it, I can solve university problems but I can't feel ...
0
votes
0answers
16 views
2
votes
1answer
29 views

derivation law from the call option formula

i am reading a article about the option pricing. and i got stuck with some typical statement. $C(K)=\int (x-K)^+\mu(dx)$ is given. here, $\mu$ is implied law of asset price and C(K) is the price ...