Modern theory of probability is formulated on the footing of measure theory. Use this tag if your question is about this theoretical footing (for example probability spaces, random variables, law of large numbers, central limit theorems, and the like). Use (probability) for explicit computation of ...

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Inequality on characteristic functions (probability theory)

Show that for every real characteristic function $\phi(t)$ we have $$1-\phi(2t) \le 4(1-\phi(t))$$ I am not sure where to begin. It seems I am missing some formula or theorem, or is it really that ...
2
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1answer
35 views

Intuition behind convolution identity for Laplace transforms

Convolutions, relatively speaking, are fairly straightforward for simple systems (from an applied perspective), but I cannot, at all, find the intuition behind the Laplace identity for convolutions. ...
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1answer
15 views

The equivalent condition of the almost surely convergence

$X_n\rightarrow X$ a.s. if and only if, given $\epsilon>0$ and $\delta>0$, there exists $n(\epsilon,\delta)$ such that $\mathbb{P}\{|X_n-X|\geqslant\epsilon \mbox{ for some } n\geqslant ...
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0answers
11 views

L1 expected error for scale/translation in densities

This is an example given in the article about testability (Devroye and Lugosi 1999) (link: http://repositori.upf.edu/bitstream/handle/10230/1024/375.pdf?sequence=1 ) page 7. First I will introduce my ...
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1answer
14 views

Comparison between these Ito Lemma versions

According to wikipedia : I found another version : Please explain the difference for me.
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1answer
59 views

Expected number of coin tosses until a run of $k$ successive heads occurs

Suppose each coin toss is independent, what is the expected number of coin tosses until a run of "k" successive heads occur? Tried finding a recursive expression to solve the problem but got ...
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3answers
101 views

Birthday “Paradox” - another, different, version!

Background Many people are familiar with the so-called Birthday "Paradox" that, in a room of $23$ people, there is a better than $50/50$ chance that two of them will share the same birthday. In its ...
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1answer
17 views

Cauchy sequence of random variable

I know (from calculus) the Cauchy convergence theorem for sequence of real numbers...how to show it with random variables? I have $S_n=\sum_{i=1}^n X_i;$ $X_i$ being iid centered r.v., $S_n$ is a ...
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0answers
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Why not defining a measure as a function on functions?

A measure $\mu$ is a function to $\left[0,\infty\right]$ on the sets belonging to a $\sigma$-algebra. Then for integrable functions $f$ the integral $\int fd\mu$ comes in, having nice properties ...
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1answer
35 views

Help proving $Pr(\mathcal{X})= \phi_1(X,Z)\phi_2(Y,Z)$ if $ P \models (X \perp Y | Z)$ and $\mathcal{X}=X \cup Y \cup Z$

I was trying to prove the following: if $X,Y,Z$ were three disjoint subsets of variables such that $\mathcal{X}=X \cup Y \cup Z$, Prove that $ P \models (X \perp Y \mid Z)$ if and only if we can ...
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2answers
20 views

Laplace transform of noncentral chi-square distribution

I'm interested in non central chi-square distribution. More specifically, i want to derive the laplace transform of noncentral chi-sqruae disribution or density function. Let me know whether it ...
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1answer
166 views

Mathematician who talked about the probability of a “good” graph?

In my undergraduate years, one of my professors always talked about this one mathematician who was talking about "good" graphs and wondered about the existence of such a graph. Apparently this ...
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1answer
37 views

Is there a set of 69 length-6-sets out of 46 numbers [1..46] so that those length-6-sets “cover” all possible 1035 length-2-sets of 46 numbers?

1.) For this question, we have 46 numbers (balls, cards, whatever): {1,2,3,4 .... 45,46} ======================= 2.) Each length-6-set of 46 numbers ( e.g. {1,2,3,4,5,6} or {1,13,16,17,32,46 } ...
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0answers
18 views

Integration respect the Lévy measure

How I can compute numerically $$\int_{a}^{b}f(z)\nu(dz)$$ where $\nu$ is a Lévy measure and $f$ is a continuous function? Is it equivalent to $$\int_{a}^{b}f(z)d\nu(z)$$ Thanks
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0answers
72 views

Is my proof correct? are the arguments right?

my assumptions: (i) $\lim_{t \to \infty}F_{t}(x)=F(x) \ \forall\ x\ \in\ C(F)$(set of continuity points of F) with $F_{t}(x)$ family of distribution functions and $F$ distribution function (ii) ...
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0answers
8 views

Generate quadrature points from a distribution

Is there any method to generate quadrature points from any arbitrary probability distribution, $p_{X}\left(x\right)$? We already know about Gauss Hermite rule for Normal distribution, Gauss-Laguerre ...
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0answers
31 views

Law and Brownian Bridge

Let $Z_{t}= W_{t}-tW_{1}$ and $Y_{1}=\sup_{0\leq t\leq 1}Z_{t}$, $(W_t, t \geq 0)$ standard Brownian motion Find the law of $Y_{1}$ I know that $\textbf{P}(\sup_{0\leq t\leq 1}W_{t}\geq x , ...
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0answers
11 views

Does an integrable IID continuous time stochastic process exist?

Let $t\in[0,T)$ where $0 < T \leq \infty$, and assume a stochastic process exists $Z_t$. The question is: does there exist an IID stochastic process for $Z_t$ such that $Z_t \perp Z_{\tau}$ for ...
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2answers
32 views

Total boundness of Lipschitz densities

In the article Almost Sure Testability of Classes of Densities by Devroye and Lugosi in 1999. They claim in Example 10 (page 9) that Lipschitz densities on [0,1] with Lipschitz constant bounded by ...
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1answer
15 views

How to solve disjoint probability problem?

Suppose the two events “high” and “low” make a disjoint partition of a sample space and “favourable” is any event. If P(high) = 0.3, P(low) = 0.7, P(favourable| high) = 0.9 and P(unfavorable| low) = ...
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1answer
23 views

Exercise 1.13 of chapter 1 of Revuz and Yor's

This is the exercise 1.13 of chapter 1 of Revuz and Yor's. Let $B$ be the standard linear BM. Prove that $\varlimsup_{t\to\infty}(B_t/\sqrt{t})$ is a.s. $>0$ (it is in fact equal to ...
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2answers
31 views

(What is the formula to find) What is the probability that the sum of the numbers on the tickets chosen is at least 7?

Senario: Box A contains four equal-sized tickets, numbered 1, 2, 3 ,4 Box B contains three tickets of the same size, numbered 4, 5, 6 An experiment consists of selecting one ticket from the box A ...
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1answer
32 views

$P(\limsup A_n)=1 $ if $\forall A \in \mathfrak{F}$ s.t. $\sum_{n=1}^{\infty} P(A \cap A_n) = \infty$

Let $\mathfrak{F} = (A_n)_{n \in \mathbb{N}}$. Prove that $P(\limsup A_n)=1$ if $\forall A \in \mathfrak{F}$ s.t. $P(A) > 0, \sum_{n=1}^{\infty} P(A \cap A_n) = \infty$. (Side question 1 Is second ...
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18 views

Ultrametric space of stochastic filtration

Let $\Omega$ be an arbitrary set and $(\mathscr F_t)_{t\in \Bbb R_+}$ be a non-decresing sequence of $\sigma$-algebras on $\Omega$ such that any subset of $\Omega$ is contained is some of them, that ...
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60 views

Why “One cannot construct more than countably many independent random variables”?

I'm reading the book "Large Networks and Graph Limits" by László Lovász. On the page 18 he said the following: One cannot construct more than countably many independent random variables (in a ...
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1answer
43 views

Martingale based on normal PDF evaluated at normalized i.i.d. sums

I have the following problem. $(X_n)_{n\geq0}, n\in\mathrm{R}$, is a family of iid r.v., normally distributed $\mathcal{N}(0,1)$ $\mathcal{F_n} := \sigma((X_i)_{1\leq i\leq n})$ $x\in\mathrm{R}, ...
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45 views

Banach Fixed Point Theorem. Measurable version.

The Banach fixed point theorem has the following statement THEOREM ( Banach contraction principle). Let $(Y,d)$ be a complete metric space and $F:Y\to Y$ be contractive . Then $F$ has a uniqe ...
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2answers
42 views

How many strings with seven or more characters can be formed from the letters of EVERGREEN.

Question: How many strings with seven or more characters can be formed from the letters of EVERGREEN. I'm lost on this one, the answer is supposed to be 19, 635. My Attempt: I've tried using ...
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60 views

Upper bounding a Poisson Process with indicators of exponentials

Define $E_1,E_2,\ldots, E_i,\ldots E_n$ as i.i.d. exponentials with parameter $\lambda$. These define processes on some interval $[0,\delta]$ (think of $\delta$ as very small, it will come into play ...
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1answer
19 views

When to give up on Permutation and Combination and use Tree Diagram.

Question: When to give up on Permutation and Combination and use Tree Diagram. I need a good heuristics for determining this sort of problem. Such heuristics will be valuable.
2
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0answers
10 views

Pushfoward of measures Lipschitz continuous in total variation

Let $X,Y$ and $Z$ be metric spaces and $f:X\times Y\to Z$ be a measurable map. Suppose that we are given a probability measure $\mu$ on $Y$, and define a stochastic kernel $$ ...
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1answer
33 views

Calculating difference between two probability distributions.

What is a good measure of the difference between two probability distributions other than Kullback–Leibler divergence?
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31 views

Properties of the essential supremum

In the article about testability of densities (Devroye and Lugosi 1999, page 4) (link: http://repositori.upf.edu/bitstream/handle/10230/1024/375.pdf?sequence=1 ). They use some properties of the ...
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2answers
36 views

Limit value of a product martingale

This question came from a problem i was solving for self-study. I'll state the problem first: Let $Y_n \sim \mathcal N(0,\sigma^2)$ be independent normally distributed variables, $X_n = ...
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0answers
28 views

Uniform distribution on convex hull

Let $X=\{ x_1,\dots,x_n \} \subset \mathbb{R}^m$. Let $H(X)$ be the convex hull of $X$. Assume that $X$ is a convexly independent set, i.e. none of the $x_i$ are a convex combination of the others. ...
2
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2answers
71 views

At a party $n$ people toss their hats into a pile in a closet.$\dots$ [duplicate]

Question: At a party $n$ people toss their hats into a pile in a closet. The hats are mixed up, and each person selects one at random. What is the expected number of people who select their own hats? ...
2
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1answer
31 views

Weak convergence with respect to the uniform topology on cadlag functions

Suppose I have a random sequence $X_n$ of cadlag functions on $[0,1]$ that converge weakly to $X$. In general this is meant with respect to the Skorkhod metric but suppose here I have that $X$ is ...
2
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1answer
56 views

Example of non continuous random variable with continuous CDF

Can someone provide an example of $X$ being a non-continuous random variable with continuous cumulative distribution function? For instance: $X$ is discrete if it takes (at most) a countable number ...
3
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1answer
28 views

Local convexity of the topology of weak convergence of probability measures

Let $X$ be a Polish or standard Borel space, and $\mathcal P(X)$ be the space of all Borel probability measures on $X$ endowed with the topology of weak convergence. I am thinking of using ...
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2answers
12 views

Find the probability of each outcome when a biased die is rolled, if rolling a 2 or 4 is three times as likely as rolling each of the other$\dots$

Question:Find the probability of each outcome when a biased die is rolled, if rolling a $2$ or $4$ is three times as likely as rolling each of the other four numbers on the die and it is equally ...
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0answers
40 views

What did I do wrong when using Jacobian transformation

A device containing two key components fails when, and only when, both components fail. The lifetimes, $T_1$ and $T_2$, of these components are independent with common density function $f (t) = ...
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1answer
35 views

Question about a change of variable used to compute $E(X)$ from the CDF of $X$

I was studying a proof where the author shows that if the range of x is $\mathbb R_+$ and $F$ is the cumulative distribution function then: $$E[X] = \int_{0}^\infty (1-F(x))dx $$ However on one ...
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Can the transition probabilities of an inhomogeneous Markov chain be written as an exponential?

If $Z_t$ is a homogeneous continuous-time Markov chain with finite state space $E=\{1,\ldots,p\}$, transition matrices $(P(t))$ and intensity matrix $Q$, it holds that $$ P(t) = \exp(tQ), $$ see for ...
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19 views

Applying Ito lemma to multi dimensional semimartingales

Let $X_t=(X^1,\dots,X^d$) be a d-dimensional semimartingale. Then the formula for Ito's lemma I have found in several places, including wikipedia, is: $f(X_T)-f(X_0)=\sum_{i=1}^d\int_0^T ...
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2answers
32 views

probability of a flipped coin

A fair coin is flipped three times. Let $A$ be the event that a head occurs in the first flip and $B$ be the event that exactly one head occurs. a) Find $p(A/B)$ b) Are $A$ and $B$ independent? ...
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2answers
33 views

If pages in a book have an iid Poisson number of errors, in 10 pages what is the probability that exactly 3 pages have exactly 1 error?

Suppose the number of spelling error on any given page in particular book can be modeled by a Poisson distribution with $\lambda=2$, and assume that the number of errors on different pages is ...
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39 views

Choosing random marbles until one is divisible by $X$ [closed]

A box contains twelve marbles on which they are numbered by $1,2,3,...,12$. Now let $X$ represent the number of marbles you must choose with replacement until you obtain one with a number that is ...
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1answer
32 views

Proving and visualizing $\mathbf 1_{(x,x+a]}(y) = \mathbf 1_{[y-a,y)}(x)$

Here is a trick from one of the proofs in probability: $$\iint \mathbf 1_{(x,x+a]}(y) \ \lambda(dx) \ \mathbb P(dy) = \iint \mathbf 1_{[y-a,y)}(x) \ \lambda(dx) \ \mathbb P(dy)$$ for $a>0$. So ...
3
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1answer
75 views

Usual convex combination and the one with measure

Let $X$ be a Borel measurable subset of $\Bbb R^n$ and let $\nu$ be a probability measure on $X$. Can we always find an integer $m$, points $x_1,\dots,x_m\in X$ and coefficients $a_1,\dots,a_m \geq ...
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1answer
37 views

Reverse Fatou's lemma on probability space

Let $(\Omega, \mathcal{F},\mathbb{P})$ be probability space and $E_{n \in \mathbb{N}}$ be $\mathcal{F}$-measurable sets. Show example that reverse Fatou's Lemma, $\mathbb{P}(\limsup_n E_n) \geq ...