# Tagged Questions

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### Game theory: Bidding strategy during an auction in a card game

I'm trying to create a mathematical model for the auction process in a card game called Pitch. The specific question I'm interested in solving is: Let $p_i$ represent the probability of a specific ...
45 views

### Estimate arrival time of a ship given the average of the ships in a day in a Poisson Distribution

I'm working in a simulation of a Port where ships come to specific stations of the port. I already know that the average amount of ships is given by a Poisson distribution and the service time (On ...
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Is the probability from the birthday paradox also true about deaths? If so, why? Or why not? I would think that it is also true about deaths, but it doesn't say so.
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### At what point discrepancy, in the NBA, does it make sense to milk the shot clock?

I am admittedly not great with probabilities, so I am soliciting the help of the community. I am watching game 3 of the NBA Finals and I am trying to work out when it makes sense to milk the shot ...
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### Distribution of phone calls during 24h

I would like to model the amount of phone calls at each time of the day. The phone calls should follow a poisson distribution and at 12:00 there should be the peak. So, semantically what I would like ...
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### looking for asymmetric probability distribution

In physics, quantities are sometimes measured with both an upper and lower error. For example, I might say that an object's mass is $m = 10^{+0.1}_{-0.2} \text{ kg}$. In my case, these arise from ...
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### Probabilistic model of parallel web servers

Note: The following probabilistic model of parallel web servers is abstracted from an engineering project. I am not good at probability theory and I am seeking some evaluations and suggestions. ...
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### exponential population growth models using $e$?

Im trying to understand this write up [1] of cell population growth models and am confused about the use of natural logarithms. If cells double at a constant rate starting from 1 cell, then their cell ...
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### How to model a system with multiple probability distributions, each for a part of the system?

I need to build a complex probability model to describe some "real world" scenarios. The system consists of several types of objects, and the contraints upon these objects and their interactions are ...
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### In general, is it easier to solve problems that have random variables, or problems that are basically the same that don't [closed]

This question is asked because I don't understand how random variables will affect various math problems, and knowledgeable mathematicians would. By easier, we mean less steps If we make our own ...
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### Modelling randomized cup stacking, animal behaviour

This question has no scientific relevance for me whatsoever, but is a real life question which left me puzzled for a while. Even though I am not going anywere with this, maybe there is still somebody ...
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### Modeling with a Bivariate Gaussian Distribution

In an earlier question I inquired about contour lines reflecting probability values in a Bivariate Gaussian Distribution. I have spent some time thinking and playing around with a Mathematica ...
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### Conditional Expectation and the floor function

I have a piece of code the produces random integers. ...
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### How to model server load?

I want to model the server under load. I'm using following assumptions: The server serves only one request at a time, and all requests take him exactly 100ms to process. All requests that came ...
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### Understanding the Pareto distribution as applied to wealth

The Pareto distribution is used to say, given a particular person X, what is the pdf of his wealth. I would like to explore the reciprocal question: Given the total amount of wealth in a population, ...
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### Deriving functions for empiracal distributions -very applied mathatics

First I am a new user of this site. Second my math background is very limited, although I do have a lot of experience in applied statistics. Component or piece part failures on high value parts(\$1000 ...
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### Probability in single-lane traffic flow: What are the odds of “choke points” being encountered?

Let's say you have a single-lane road (single in this case meaning single lane in each direction, or what you could also call two-lane). Let's say you have a random number of vehicles on a given ...