1
vote
1answer
50 views

Estimate arrival time of a ship given the average of the ships in a day in a Poisson Distribution

I'm working in a simulation of a Port where ships come to specific stations of the port. I already know that the average amount of ships is given by a Poisson distribution and the service time (On ...
1
vote
0answers
30 views

Distribution of phone calls during 24h

I would like to model the amount of phone calls at each time of the day. The phone calls should follow a poisson distribution and at 12:00 there should be the peak. So, semantically what I would like ...
0
votes
0answers
40 views

Probabilistic model of parallel web servers

Note: The following probabilistic model of parallel web servers is abstracted from an engineering project. I am not good at probability theory and I am seeking some evaluations and suggestions. ...
0
votes
1answer
25 views

Apartment re-rental rate follow a Beta or Gamma distribution?

I'm attempting to approximate the variance within how quickly a given housing unit could be re-rented once the previous tenants vacate. Assuming notice is given, it is much more likely that it will be ...
4
votes
2answers
289 views

Biology: Wright-Fisher model of genetic drift

In evolutionary biology (in population genetics to be more accurate) exists the concept of genetic drift. It describes how an allele (gene variant) (that has no advantage or disadvantage in terms of ...
2
votes
3answers
66 views

How to model a doubling process with errors

An original document is duplicated. With probability $p_{err}$ a mistake is made in the copy (we will dub the resulting document the "wrong" document.) Both the original and the copy (right, or wrong) ...
1
vote
0answers
283 views

How to calculate probability with sigmoid output in feedforward neural network?

first of all I'm sorry for my not very skilled English, but I will do my best to explain my problem. I'm trying to create a feedforward neural network with one hidden layer (with probably arctan ...
0
votes
1answer
307 views

Time-evolving probability distribution functions with an equation of motion

I came up with this question a while ago and haven't been able to gain any insight on it. You are playing baseball. As a batter with finite vision capabilities, the only information you have about ...
3
votes
1answer
704 views

Understanding the Pareto distribution as applied to wealth

The Pareto distribution is used to say, given a particular person X, what is the pdf of his wealth. I would like to explore the reciprocal question: Given the total amount of wealth in a population, ...
1
vote
0answers
97 views

Is there a SoftMax distribution with confidence parameters?

This is a softmax probability distribution: $$P(i\mid w_1, w_2, \ldots, w_n) = \frac{\exp(w_i)}{\sum_{i=1}^n \exp(w_i)}.$$ It known also as Boltzmann distribution. It is used in generalized ...