For question about discrete or continuous (super/sub)martingales. Often used with [probability-theory] tag.

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13
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0answers
235 views

Does this Condition on Exit Times imply $X_t$ is a Local Supermartingale?

Let $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ be a continuous (or càdlàg), real-valued process, and define stopping times $$\tau_{s,a,b}=\inf~ [s,\infty)\cap\{t:X_t\notin (a,b)\}.$$ We can interpret $\tau_{s,a,b}$ as the ...
11
votes
0answers
998 views

Azuma's inequality to McDiarmid's inequality?

I was going through some notes on concentration inequalities when I noticed that there are two commonly-cited forms of McDiarmid's inequality. Long story short: I know how to prove the weaker one from ...
11
votes
0answers
211 views

Removing deterministic discontinuities from semi-martingales

Let $X:=(X_t)_{0 \le t \le T}$ be a solution of the SDE $$ X_t = X_0 + \int_0^t \sigma(s,X_s) dW_s + \sum_{i=1}^n f_i(X_{t_i^-}) 1_{\{t > t_i\}}$$ where $t_1,\cdots,t_n \in [0,T]$ and $(f_i)_{1 \le ...
8
votes
0answers
127 views

A generalization of simple random walk

Suppose $S_n, n\geq 0$ is a martingale on $\mathbb{R}$ such that $S_0=0$ and $|S_{n+1}-S_{n}|\in [\frac{1}{2}, 1]$. Prove that there exists $c,C>0$ s.t. $$ \frac{c}{\sqrt{n}} \leq P( S_1\geq 0,\...
8
votes
0answers
250 views

Proving existence of limit by Martingale.

I'm thinking about a question: Suppose $y_n > −1$ for all $n$ and $\sum |y_n| < \infty$. Show that $\prod_{m=1}^\infty (1 + y_m)$ exists. Since $\sum |y_n| < \infty$, we must be able ...
6
votes
0answers
353 views

Convergence of Martingale.

The question is: 5.2.11. Let $X_n$ and $Y_n$ be positive integrable and adapted to Fn. Suppose $\mathbb E(X_{n+1}|\mathcal F_n) ≤ (1 + Y_n )X_n$ with $ \sum Y_n < \infty$ a.s. Prove that $X_n$...
6
votes
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355 views

An application of the Optional Sampling Theorem

let $S(k), k\geq 0$ a discrete random process. Suppose $S(N)$ is with probability one either 100 or 0 and that $S(0)=50$. Suppose further there is at least a sixty percent probability that the price ...
5
votes
0answers
58 views

Brownian Motion Third Power Martingale using Ito Integral

Let $(B_t)_{t \geq 0}$ be a standard Brownian motion and $M_t = B_t^2 - t$. According to this and this posts we know that \begin{align} [M] = [B^2] = 2 \int_0^t B_s^2\ ds. \end{align} Now, without ...
5
votes
0answers
68 views

There exists a real number so that $X_n$ is a martingale

I am working on the following problem: Let $Y_n$ be a sequence for which there exists constants $\alpha$ and $\beta$ with $$ E(Y_{n+1}\mid \mathcal{F}_n)=\alpha Y_n +\beta Y_{n-1} $$ for each ...
5
votes
0answers
165 views

Harmonic functions and null recurrence

Let $(X_n)_{n \geq 0}$ be a irreducible Markov chain defined on a countable state space $S$. It is known some ways to figure out if this chain is recurrent or not looking for superharmonic functions ...
5
votes
0answers
209 views

A Stopping Theorem for Right-Continuous Submartingales

Reading through the book "Brownian Motion & Stochastic Processes" by Karatzas and Shreve, I found the following problem (problem 3.24, page 20): Suppose that $ \{ X_t, \mathcal{F}_t \ | \ 0 \leq ...
4
votes
0answers
48 views

For a simple random walk $S_n$ and for a stopping time $\tau$, what is the intuitive interpretation of $P(\tau < \infty) = 1$?

Suppose we have a simple random walk $S_n$ and we define a stopping time to be $\tau = min\{n: S_n = A \ \text{or} \ S_n = -B\}$. That is, we stop the first time we hit $A$ or $-B$. With this, I have ...
4
votes
0answers
39 views

Application of Doob's optional stopping theorem to an elementary probability problem

The elementary probability problem is as follows. Let $(X_k)_{k\in\mathbb{N}}$ be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables such that $X_k \sim U(0,1)$ for each $k$. Define $\tau := \inf\{n\geq 0: \...
4
votes
0answers
53 views

Stochastic Integral of Particle Scattering

I have a stochastic process that describes a particle moving through a field of randomly distributed particles and undergoing scattering collisions (modeled simplistically) off of them. In its ...
4
votes
0answers
87 views

Is $X_t = tW\left(\frac{1}{t}\right)$ a Martingale?If not, how could it be a Brownian Motion?

As is proved, $X_t = tW\left(\frac{1}{t}\right)$ is a Brownian motion. For example see Theorem 4.2 in this paper http://math.uchicago.edu/~may/REU2012/REUPapers/Leiner.pdf I'm just confused because ...
4
votes
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67 views

Brownian motion and associated martingales

Under the Wiener measure $\Bbb{W}$ the process $x(t)$ is a brownian motion. This means that $\Bbb{E}[{x(t)-x(s)\mid \mathcal{F}_s}]=0$. Let $P$ be a measure in $C([0,\infty),\Bbb{R}^d)$ such that ...
4
votes
0answers
52 views

Stochastic control with stopping times

Given a wealth process that evolves as $$d w_t = r w_t dt + \theta_t ( \sigma dW_t + (\mu-r) dt) - c_t dt.$$ and smooth functions $u,F: [0, +\infty) \rightarrow \mathbb{R}$, how can we optimise the ...
4
votes
0answers
102 views

Almost surely either $X_n=0$ for some $n$ or $\lim_{n\to\infty}X_n=\infty$

How I came to this: Let $\{X_n\}_{n\in\mathbb{N}}$ be a sequence of non negative random variables, $\mathcal{F}_n=\sigma(X_l,l\leq n)$ the sequence of corresponding sigma-algebras and define $Z=\{X_n=...
4
votes
0answers
194 views

Dose “optional stopping theorem” imply “optional sampling theorem”?

Suppose $X$ is a martingale,$\tau$ and $\sigma$ are two stopping times which satisfy (a)$\sigma\le\tau$ and (b)the "optional stopping theorem" holds,that is to say: $$\mathbb E[X_\sigma]=\mathbb E[...
4
votes
0answers
223 views

Determine if this is a Martingale

I am trying to check if the process $S_t$ is a martingale, where $\mathrm dS_t = \frac{I_{S_t > 0}}{S_t} \mathrm dW_t$, $S_0 = 1$. We know that $S_t$ is a local martingale because if we stop it ...
4
votes
0answers
125 views

Submartingality of generalized stochastic exponential of a BMO martingale

I attended a talk today on BMO martingales. It was my first encounter with the subject, and this may explain my inability to solve this myself. We take a continuous local martingale $L$, and say ...
4
votes
0answers
250 views

Time scaling of Brownian motion

Let $(B_t)_{t\geq 0}$ be a standard Brownian motion and $A_t$ be an increasing continuous process adapted to the filtration generated by the Brownian Motion and $A_0 = 0$. I am trying to prove that $(...
4
votes
0answers
527 views

Superharmonic function and supermartingale

If $f$ is a nonnegative superharmonic function in dimension 2, how to prove that $f$ is constant? There is an exercise in R.Durrett's probability book, which gives out a method to prove it by ...
3
votes
0answers
29 views

A stochastic process $X$ is a martingale $\iff$ $X$ is driftless.

A Collector's Guide to Martingales: If $X$ is a stochastic process with volatility $\sigma _t$ (that is, $dX_t = \sigma _t dW_t + \mu _t dt$) which satisfies $\mathbb{E}[(\int_{0}^{T} \sigma^2 _s \, ...
3
votes
0answers
33 views

$2D$ random walk stopping time

A $2D$ random walk starts at $(X_0, Y_0) = (k, k)$ where $k>0$ is an integer. At each step $(X_{n+1}, Y_{n+1}) = (X_{n}-1, Y_{n})$ or $(X_{n+1}, Y_{n+1}) = (X_{n}, Y_{n}-1)$ with the same ...
3
votes
0answers
30 views

Two Similar Measures on a Probability Space

Let $(\Omega,\mathscr{F}, P)$ be a probability space and let $Q$ be another probability measure on $\mathscr{F}$, and let $\mathscr{F}_n=\sigma(Y_1,\ldots,Y_n)$ be a non-decreasing sequence of $\...
3
votes
0answers
83 views

stochastic exponential uniformly integrable martingale

$N$ is a continuous local martingale and $T_c:=\inf\left\{t>0:\left[N\right]_t>c\right\}$, $c>0$ . I need to show that the stochastic exponential $\mathcal{E}(-N)$ is a uniformly integrable ...
3
votes
0answers
42 views

Holder Continuity of a Continuous Stochastic Process

I have recently read the proof that the Brownian Motion and Fractional Brownian motion are almost surely Holder Continuous. I was wondering if this can be extended to a higher class of continuous ...
3
votes
0answers
18 views

What kind of decomposition is $X_{t \wedge L}=\tilde{X}_t+\int_0^{t \wedge L} \frac{d \langle X, M^L \rangle_s}{Z^L_{s^-}}$?

In one of the papers I was reading for my masters thesis I came across a theorem with no references. Theorem: If $(X_t)$ is an $(\mathcal{F}_t)$ martingale then there exists a $(\mathcal{F}^L_t)$ ...
3
votes
0answers
31 views

Why does there exist a right continuous version of the supermartingale $\{P(L >u \vert F_u),u \geq 0)\}$

Why does there exist a right continuous version of the supermartingale $\{P(L >u \vert F_u),u \geq 0)\}$ where $L$ is a measurable random variable Its is clear that not all supermartingales have ...
3
votes
0answers
40 views

Construct martingale with compound Poisson process

Let $X_t = \sum _{i=1}^{N_t} Y_i$ and $N_t$ be a Poisson process with intensity $\lambda >0$. Suppose $Y_i$ are i.i.d. random variables independent of $N_t$, having $N(m,\sigma^2)$. Find $\mu&...
3
votes
0answers
58 views

Limiting sequence of exponential random variables

Let $\eta_k$ be i.i.d. random variables having an exponential distribution, $$F_\lambda(x) = P(\eta_k \leq x) = 1-e^{-\lambda x}$$ for $x \geq 0$. Consider a sequence $\xi_k = F_{\lambda}(\eta_k)$. ...
3
votes
0answers
25 views

Conditional expectation and stopping time $\mathbb{E}(X1_{T\leq m}|\mathcal{F}_{T\wedge m})=\mathbb{E}(X1_{T\leq m}|\mathcal{F}_T)$

Let $X$ be a random variable and $T$ a stopping time in a filtrated probability space. If $m > 0$ is it true that: $$\mathbb{E}\left(X1_{T\leq m}|\mathcal{F}_{T\wedge m}\right)=\mathbb{E}\left(X1_{...
3
votes
0answers
23 views

Application of Laplace transform to stopping times and expectations

Let $X_k$ be i.i.d. random variables such that $E[X_1]=m<\infty$. Consider $S_n = \sum_{k=1}^{n} X_k$. Let $\tau$ be a stopping time independent of $X_k$ with respect to the filtration $\{F_n\}_{n \...
3
votes
0answers
70 views

Why is the black-scholes model arbitrage free when $\sigma >0$?

I want to show that: if $σ$ is positive then there is no arbitrage in the model, even if $r > µ$. Whilst I have satisfied this for $ r > \mu$, I cannot see why the conditioning on $\sigma>0 $ ...
3
votes
0answers
97 views

Sufficient condition for martingale property

Let $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},(\mathcal{F}_t)_{t \geq 0},\mathbb{P})$ be a filtered probability space and $M=(M_t)_{t\geq 0}$ an $\mathcal{F}_t$-adapted stochastic process. If $$ \forall t<s, \ \mathbb{...
3
votes
0answers
80 views

Condition for $L^p$ convergence of backwards martingale

Is there any condition that is known to be sufficient for $L^p, 1<p<\infty$ convergence of a backwards martingale (and why is it sufficient)? I couldn't find anything else than the normal $L^1$ ...
3
votes
0answers
88 views

Martingale Can't be Strictly Increasing

If the sample paths of a martingale are almost surely continuous and not constant on any interval, is it true that they are almost surely not increasing on any interval? Edit for clarity: Let $(X_t)_{...
3
votes
0answers
421 views

Levy's extension of the Borel-Cantelli Lemmas

Following is the statement and proof of Levy's extension of the Borel-Cantelli Lemmas, as given in Williams' "Probability with Martingales" (1991), in section 12.15 on page 124. I understand most of ...
3
votes
0answers
177 views

Absolute continuity of quadratic variation of continuous local martingales

I am interested to know if there are any simple sufficient conditions on continuous local martingale to have absolutely continuous quadratic variation. In general , we know only that quadratic ...
3
votes
0answers
70 views

Upper bounds on the sum in a Martingale process

My question is related the hitting time of not a random walk, but a more general martingale process. Suppose we start with an arbitrary $x_0=x$ with $0\leq x\leq 1$. We compute $x_{t+1}$ from $x_t$ ...
3
votes
0answers
102 views

Discontinuous local martingales with finite variations

I would like to know if a discontinuous local martingale with paths of finite variations almost surely is a martingale. I feel that it should be the case but can't find a straightforward argument. As ...
3
votes
0answers
79 views

Dimension free Concentration bounds for Martingales

Consider the following random process which is defined on $n$ numbers $0\leq x_1,\ldots,x_n\leq 1$: At each step, pick an arbitrary number, say $x_i$. Then randomly (and independently) change its ...
3
votes
0answers
112 views

Doob Decomposition of American Option

I am trying to figure out the Doob decomposition of an American put option in a discrete time binomial model. I know how to price the American put, but I'm having trouble expressing it as the sum of ...
3
votes
0answers
167 views

An identity about a continuous local martingale

Let $M_t$ be a continuous local martingale with $M_0=0$ and define $I_t^0=1$ and $I_t^n= \int_0^t I_s^{n-1}\; dM_s$. Prove that we have $$n I_t^n= I_t^{n-1}- \int_0^t I_s^{n-2} \;d((M)_t) $$ where $(M)...
2
votes
0answers
40 views

martingale square integrable

Let $X_t=\int_0^te^{W_s}dW_s$ and $Y_t=\int_0^tW_sdX_s$. How to show that $X$ and $Y$ are martingale square integrable? ($W_t$ - Wiener) It it enough to show that $\mathbb{E}X_t^2<\infty$, $\...
2
votes
0answers
38 views

Show that $W^2 _t - t$ is a $\mathbb{P}$-martingale.

Claim: $V_t = W^2 _t - t$ is a $\mathbb{P}$-martingale. I have shown via Ito's formula, that $dV_t = 2 W_t \, dW_t$. For reference, I will list this "Proposition": If $X$ is a stochastic process ...
2
votes
0answers
28 views

Is every discrete martingale a time-changed simple random walk?

While going through the book by Revuz and Yor titled 'Continuous Martingales and Brownian Motion', I came accross the notion of time change. In a nutshell, if X is a stochastic process and C is an (...
2
votes
0answers
30 views

Brownian Motion with Levy's Characterization 2

Let W be a $\mathbb{R}$-valued Brownian motion. To prove that $(B_t)_{t\geq 0}$, where: $B_t:=W_t-\int_0^t\frac{W_u}{u}du$, is a Brownian Motion with respect to $\mathcal{F}^B$, I showed $[B]_t=t$ and ...
2
votes
0answers
55 views

Brownian motion with Lévy’s Characterization

I want to show that: if for all $\lambda \in \mathbb{R}$ the process $(exp(\lambda X_t-\frac{\lambda ^2}{2}t))_{t\geq0}$ is a $\mathcal{F}^X$ local martingale, then the $\mathbb{R}$-valued process X ...