Estimation theory is a branch of statistics and signal processing that deals with estimating the values of parameters based on measured/empirical data that has a random component.

learn more… | top users | synonyms

0
votes
2answers
24 views

MAP Estimator with Laplacian Noise

I need to calculate the MAP estimator of $ x $ in the following case: $$ \left [ \begin{matrix} {y}_{1}\\ {y}_{2} \end{matrix} \right ] = \left [ \begin{matrix} x\\ x \end{matrix} \right ] + ...
1
vote
1answer
23 views

Conditional expectation and Rao Blackwell

Consider a family of densitites $f(x,\theta)=\frac{\exp(-\sqrt{x})}{\theta}$. Let $X_1$ be a single observation from this family. I have shown that $\sqrt{X_1}/2$ is an unbiased estimator. Now ...
3
votes
1answer
53 views

Is a probability density function necessarily a $L^2$ function?

If a nonnegative continuous real valued function $f$ is integrable over $\mathbb{R}$ with $$\int_\mathbb{R} f\,\mathrm{d}x = 1,$$ does it hold true $$\int_\mathbb{R} f^2 \,\mathrm{d}x<\infty?$$ ...
2
votes
0answers
19 views

Alternatives to Fisher information

The Fisher information matrix is defined as the following: $$\mathcal{I}(\theta)=E[(\frac{\partial \log f(x;\theta)}{\partial \theta})^2]=-E[\frac{\partial^2 \log f(x;\theta)}{\partial \theta ...
0
votes
0answers
16 views

Monte carlo formula to compute the approximation of variance of MLE

In the book of "Monte Carlo Statistical Methods", the book gives an approximation formula for the variance of MLE, Later on, the book mentions that this approximation formula can be written as ...
1
vote
2answers
41 views

how to estimate the phase parameter of a complex function

There is a complex serie: $f(t_n)=\alpha_n+\beta_n i$, for $n = 1,...,N$,$t_n,\alpha_n$ and $\beta_n$ are known.When we have know that $f(t)$ has the following form: $$f(t)=Ae^{-iBt}$$ with unknown ...
1
vote
1answer
81 views

statistics inequality

Let $\theta$ be a discrete pararmeter and $\gamma_{n}$ be an estimator. Prove that for any $c>0$ we have that $$\text{E}[(\gamma_n-\theta)^2] \ge\Pr[|\gamma_n-\theta|>c]\cdot c^2$$
1
vote
1answer
120 views

questions on bias of estimator

a) Let $X_{1},...,X_{n}$ be i.i.d Uniform$[0,\theta]$. Show that estimator $\beta(X)=max(X_{1},..,X_{n})$ is a biased estimator for $\theta$.Find an unbiased estimator, based on $\theta$. My attempt: ...
0
votes
0answers
19 views

How to compute MAP estimate of y?

Suppose that a scalar random variable y is of the form $y=z+v$, where the pdf of $v$ is $p_{v}(t)=\frac{t}{2}$ on the interval $[0,2]$, and the pdf of $z$ is $p_{z}(t)=2t$on the interval $[0,1]$. Both ...
0
votes
1answer
25 views

Mean Square Estimate problem

I have to find $\textbf{s}_{MS}$ given $\textbf{r} = h\textbf{s}+\textbf{n}$ where $h$ is a Bernoulli random variable with $Pr(h=1)=Pr(h=0) = 1/2$ and $\textbf{s}$ and $\textbf{n}$ are independent ...
0
votes
0answers
16 views

Predicting future outcomes from samples when sample sizes and distributions are not controlled and vary

I'm very stale in my statistics and am trying to calculate my confidence around a certain mean outcome from an investment firm (I'll use lay person terms so that I am not assuming any particular type ...
1
vote
1answer
263 views

Maximum likelihood estimators, hypergeometric and binomial

I'm trying to solve a two part problem. The set up is as follows: consider a bag with $\theta$ red marbles and $7-\theta$ blue marbles, with $\theta$ being unknown. Let $x$ denote the number of red ...
1
vote
0answers
22 views

ML estimate of sum of guassian variables?

consider the sum $z=x_{1}+...+x_{k}$, where the scalar variables $x_{i}$ are statistically independent and Gaussian, each having the same mean $0$ and variance $\sigma^2_{x}.$ how can I construct the ...
0
votes
1answer
43 views

log likelihood function of a cauchy distribution

What is the log likelihood function of a random varible x with cauchy distribution (0,1)? I've tried to work it out. I think its $\log (1+x)^2$. Is that correct?
1
vote
1answer
42 views

When is a minimum distance decoder also a maximum likelihood decoder?

It is well known that if we have a binary symmetric channel with crossover probability $\epsilon<0.5$ and we send a word $x$ through it, the most likely word is the one with minimum hamming ...
0
votes
0answers
81 views

Second derivative wrt complex parameter

I'm facing an estimation problem and I need to calculate the Cramer-Rao Lower Bound of an estimator. So I have 2 unknown parameters: the amplitude of the signal $A$ and its direction of arrival $u$. ...
0
votes
0answers
20 views

Sufficient statistic of a geometric rv

Can anyone help me prove the sufficient statistics of geo r.v. I am stuck and cant cancel out the thetaws . thanks.
0
votes
0answers
16 views

Can we predict the positions of zero entries in a sparse vector given a model

I am wondering if we can predict the positions of the zero entries in a $n$-dimensional sparse vector $x$ given the linear model: $y=Ax$ where $y\in\mathbb{R}^m$ and the matrix ...
0
votes
0answers
15 views

Looking for hints on how to prove the convergence of this iterative estimator! [duplicate]

Let $X_n$ be a Poisson process with mean $\lambda^*$. The following sequence estimates the parameter of the Poisson process: $ X_{n+1} = \hat{\lambda}_{n+1} + ...
0
votes
1answer
20 views

Literature study for Optimal Estimation Theory

It seems Optimal Estimation/Control Theory requires a lot more than undergraduate maths. Any good book that would help me get started? I have so far referred the following books but found them quite ...
1
vote
2answers
62 views

Maximum likelihood estimator?

I am looking at some questions from Mods 2010 and I can't figure this one out. I think my problem is technical... We have a sample (L1,R1), ...,(Ln,Rn) with Lj and Rj normally distributed independent ...
0
votes
1answer
23 views

Given 50 IID normals, find the exact SE for the estimate of $\sigma^2$?

Given 50 I.I.D Normal distributions random variables $X_i$, the Maximum Likelihood estimator for $\sigma^2$ is $\hat{\sigma}^2$, as proven in my lecture notes. Find the EXACT SE. My Attempt: ...
1
vote
0answers
18 views

Convergence rate of an estimator

Say we are interested in estimating some unknown real scalar parameter $\alpha$ using data. Suppose the estimator $\widehat \alpha_N$ of $\alpha$ using the data is consistent. I want to know what it ...
0
votes
0answers
7 views

How to compare two different estimators

What is the correct to compare the 'performance' of an estimator? Suppose I have two estimators $\hat{\pmb \theta_1}$ and $\hat{\pmb \theta_2}$ for the same problem of estimating $\pmb \theta$. For ...
2
votes
0answers
67 views

Identification of real functions

this my second question, so I'm still new... thanks in advance for any help! Basically, I'm looking for some references and tools to study the following problem. Consider the following function ...
1
vote
1answer
45 views

Finding the MLE of pareto dist., and trouble interpreting $\prod$ notation properly.

I am generally having trouble understanding how to use product notation when calculating Maximum Likelihood Estimators. The example bellow is from a random sample $X_1,...,X_n$. Find the MLE of ...
1
vote
0answers
62 views

Estimation of a Ito's semi-martingale linear functional

Could someone check my solution for the following problem please? Or maybe propose a smarter/shorter solution. Consider a stochastic process $X=(X_t)_{t \in [0,1]}$ defined in a filtred ...
0
votes
0answers
26 views

Asymptotic result on quadratic variation of a semi-martingale linear functional estimator

In the same context of this previous question. Consider $$ \mathcal E^{(n)}_t := \sqrt{n}(\widehat\Lambda_n(\phi)_t - \Lambda(\phi)_t )$$ I desire to prove that $$ \left \langle \mathcal ...
0
votes
0answers
9 views

Estimating variance from the sequence

Suppose that we have $\{X_n\}\to X\sim N(0,\Omega)$ where $X_n$ can be obtained from observations. My problem is to estimate $\Omega$ consistently. If $var X_n$ converges to a "finite" matrix, then ...
1
vote
0answers
70 views

Maximum Likelihood Estimator of the exponential function parameter based on Order Statistics

Let $X_1, \ldots, X_n$ be a random sample from the exponential distribution $\exp(\lambda)$. Let $M_n=\max\{X_1, \ldots, X_n\}$ with probability density function $$g_{M_n}(x)=n\lambda e^{-\lambda ...
1
vote
1answer
44 views

Is Sample Covariance Tied to a Specific Distribution

In many sources on data analysis, the author(s) talk about calculating covariance of the data, and the formula is given as such $$ \Sigma = cov(X) = E[(X-E[X])(X-E[X])^T]$$ This formulation is given ...
1
vote
1answer
76 views

Find the Method Moment Estimator of parameter $\theta$

Find the MME of parameter $\theta$ in the distribution with the density $f(x,\theta)=(\theta +1)x^{-(\theta+2)}$, for $x>1$ and $\theta >0$. So far I think I have a basic understanding of the ...
0
votes
1answer
17 views

Likelihood function for only one trial

I have a trial $\mathbb X = (X_1,X_2,....X_n)$. $X_i$ has specified distribution with unknow parameter $\theta$. I want to find an estimator of this parameter. So I can use methods like Likelihood ...
3
votes
1answer
57 views

How is the “cooking” done in surveys

In my country there's an official center undertaking surveys of voting intention every 4 months. However, they provide only "direct" voting intention, and the statistics obtained are usually pretty ...
0
votes
0answers
27 views

How to simplify conditional probability of union of several events

I have an output binary scalar, $y∈B=[0,1]$, and an input binary vector $x=[x_1, x_2,…x_M]$ where $x_i∈B=[0,1]$. I know that the output $P(y)=1$ depends entirely on the input x. Thus, I want to ...
0
votes
2answers
64 views

Asymtptotic limit of $e^x$ [closed]

I am looking for functions $A,B$ such that $$ A < e^x < B.$$ $A,B$ should be as close to $e^x$ as possible. I was trying to find something, but all I found was very distant. Can someone suggest ...
1
vote
2answers
92 views

Estimation theory: Finding MSE and Variance of an Estimator

Let $\hat{A}$ be an estimator of $A$ where $a<A<b$ and $\tilde{A}$ be another estimator such that$$\tilde{A} = \cases{a \text{ if } \hat A \leq a\\\hat A \text{ if } a< \hat A <b\\{b ...
0
votes
1answer
24 views

Estimator of a Random Variable

Given a random varable $Y$ where $$ f_Y(y) = \begin{cases}e^{-(y-k)} \quad x>k\\0\quad \text{otherwise}\end{cases} $$ Given $n$ observations of $Y$. Is the sample mean $\bar{Y}$ an unbiased ...
3
votes
2answers
56 views

Calculating likelihood of event based on retrospective analysis

I have a simple dataset consisting of the dates/times at which certain medications were taken by a patient. By looking retrospectively I'd like to make a best guess estimate as to which medication ...
0
votes
0answers
21 views

Prove that an estimator is UMVU under the usual “assumptions of regularity”

I'm asked to prove that some estimator is UMVU under the usual assumptions of regularity. I'm not sure what is meant with 'usual assumptions of regularity'. Do they mean with this that I can just ...
2
votes
3answers
75 views

More accurate estimation of mathematical constant $e$

Very often in books and also on Wikipedia we can find that: $$e \approx \left(1+\frac{1}{n}\right)^n$$ but I want more accurate estimation, it means instead using $\approx$ I wonder if I can use ...
0
votes
1answer
77 views

Maximum likelihood estimator of $P(X < y)$ for fixed $y$

I'm having a problem understanding the following question. Given the following density function $f_X(x; \theta) = (\theta +1)x^\theta$ on $0<x<1$, find the maximum likelihood estimator for ...
0
votes
0answers
21 views

Estimate the population mean when random selection is not possible

Consider I have a jar with marbles labeled 0 and 1 in it. They're not well mixed so the possibility of obtaining a sample sized 1000 with mean 0.6 and another sample sized 1000 with mean 0.4 is not so ...
0
votes
0answers
41 views

Computing an estimator for a piecewise distribution?

Suppose I have a random variable $X$ that follows a distribution with a piecewise function $f(x|\theta)$. What is the correct way to compute an estimator $\theta$ for this function? Should the ...
0
votes
1answer
17 views

Estimating Attendence

I am trying to estimate attendance at events. What I have is daily/weekly ticket sales numbers. The goal is to analyze the ticket sales each day and estimate where we might be at by the day of the ...
1
vote
2answers
88 views

Let $(X_1…X_n)$ have an exp($\lambda$) distribution. Prove that $\frac{1}{\frac{1}{n}\sum{X_i}}$ is not a unbiased estimator of $\lambda$

the main problem is that i have no clue on calculating $E(\frac{1}{x})$ let $U = \frac{1}{\frac{1}{n}\sum{X_i}}$ then, $E(U) = n*E(\frac{1}{\sum{X_i}})$. I think that i'm supposed to calculate: ...
1
vote
1answer
28 views

How to estimate a vocabulary size?

I have a list of the 1 million most common English words ordered by number of times they appear on all books in Google Books. I want for the user to select from a list of 100 words (small sample) ...
0
votes
1answer
36 views

proving unbiasedness of an estimator

Question given independent random variable $X_{1},X_{2},...,X_{n}$ from a geometric distribution with parameter $p$. we have an estimator for $p$, mainly $T=Y/n$ where Y is number of $i$ that ...
1
vote
0answers
51 views

Time series (stochastic process) estimating parameters using characteristic function

I have a time series of assets ${A_1, A_2, ..., A_n}$, which is described by a sophisticated distribution having the following characteristic function: $\phi(u; t;\theta)$, where $\theta$ is a vector ...
0
votes
1answer
43 views

calculating mean squared error for the Mean.

Exam Question There are two independent random variables $X_{1}$ $\&$ $X_{2}$ that are having normal distribution with mean $\mu$. Further Var$(X_{1})=1$ and Var$(X_{2})=2$.an unbiased estimator ...