Estimation theory is a branch of statistics and signal processing that deals with estimating the values of parameters based on measured/empirical data that has a random component.

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22 views

Estimate the population mean when random selection is not possible

Consider I have a jar with marbles labeled 0 and 1 in it. They're not well mixed so the possibility of obtaining a sample sized 1000 with mean 0.6 and another sample sized 1000 with mean 0.4 is not so ...
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51 views

Computing an estimator for a piecewise distribution?

Suppose I have a random variable $X$ that follows a distribution with a piecewise function $f(x|\theta)$. What is the correct way to compute an estimator $\theta$ for this function? Should the ...
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2answers
103 views

Let $(X_1…X_n)$ have an exp($\lambda$) distribution. Prove that $\frac{1}{\frac{1}{n}\sum{X_i}}$ is not a unbiased estimator of $\lambda$

the main problem is that i have no clue on calculating $E(\frac{1}{x})$ let $U = \frac{1}{\frac{1}{n}\sum{X_i}}$ then, $E(U) = n*E(\frac{1}{\sum{X_i}})$. I think that i'm supposed to calculate: ...
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1answer
39 views

How to estimate a vocabulary size?

I have a list of the 1 million most common English words ordered by number of times they appear on all books in Google Books. I want for the user to select from a list of 100 words (small sample) ...
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1answer
45 views

proving unbiasedness of an estimator

Question given independent random variable $X_{1},X_{2},...,X_{n}$ from a geometric distribution with parameter $p$. we have an estimator for $p$, mainly $T=Y/n$ where Y is number of $i$ that ...
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72 views

Time series (stochastic process) estimating parameters using characteristic function

I have a time series of assets ${A_1, A_2, ..., A_n}$, which is described by a sophisticated distribution having the following characteristic function: $\phi(u; t;\theta)$, where $\theta$ is a vector ...
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1answer
75 views

calculating mean squared error for the Mean.

Exam Question There are two independent random variables $X_{1}$ $\&$ $X_{2}$ that are having normal distribution with mean $\mu$. Further Var$(X_{1})=1$ and Var$(X_{2})=2$.an unbiased estimator ...
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1answer
19 views

Estimating Attendence

I am trying to estimate attendance at events. What I have is daily/weekly ticket sales numbers. The goal is to analyze the ticket sales each day and estimate where we might be at by the day of the ...
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43 views

Variance of a difference in estimated proportions with trivariate discrete distributions

Let a multivariate distribution be given by $P(Y,S_1,S_2)$, where all three variables are discrete, $Y$ is multivalued, $S_1=(0,1)$ and $S_2=(0,1)$, respectively, and all may be dependent. Define the ...
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54 views

Unbiased estimator with conditional expectation.

Suppose that $X$ has a binomial distribution with parameter $N=1$ and $p=1/2$. Y, which is independent of $X$, has a normal distribution with mean $\mu$ and variance 1. Consider the estimator $\mu$ of ...
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1answer
47 views

Variance of unbiased estimator

Let $Y_1,Y_2,...,Y_N$ be a random sample from a distribution with probability density function $f_Y(y,\theta) = 2y/\theta^2$ if $0<y<\theta$ and $0$ otherwise. (a) Show that $W = 3\bar{Y}/2$ ...
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1answer
70 views

is any upper bound for mean square error of an unbiased estimator?

There is always a lower bound for an unbiased estimator called Cramer-Rao Lower Bound. Does any one remember any upper bound for unbiased estimator? The upper bound is used for worst-case analysis of ...
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22 views

Making sense of an equation

I'm wanting to impliment a formula but I'm having issues understanding some of the components that make it up. The premise of the equation is to use a modified version of Kalman filter that estimates ...
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2answers
92 views

Finding the MLE of a function when L'($\theta$) doesn't depend on $\theta$

Here's the problem: Find the MLE of of $\theta$ when $f(x\mid\theta)=(1+x\theta)/2$ for $-1<x<1$, $=0$ otherwise. $0<\theta<1$ Find the maximum likelihood of $\theta$ and find its ...
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2answers
66 views

estimation of a parameter

The question is: $x_i = \alpha + \omega_i, $ for $i = 1, \ldots, n.$ where $\alpha$ is a non-zero constant, but unknown, parameter to be estimated, and $\omega_i$ are uncorrelated, zero_mean, ...
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1answer
27 views

Conjugate Bayesian analysis

Suppose that conditional on $\tau$, the random variable $X$ has normal distribution with mean zero and variance $1/ \tau$. The prior distribution for $\tau$ is Gamma with parameter $\alpha$ and ...
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1answer
24 views

How to show this estimation?

i have this polynom $$p(x) = \sum_{i=0}^{m}a_ix^i$$ I want to show, that if $\tilde{z}$ is the approximation to the simple zero digit $z \neq 0$ in first approximation, the following estimation ...
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1answer
24 views

How to show, that a relative mistake of a special function can be estimated in a given way

how to show, that if you have a function like this $$ y = f(x_1,...,x_m) := c \frac{x_1 *...*x_r}{x_{r+1},...,x_m}, \quad 1 < r \leq m,$$ the relative mistake in first order can be estimated ...
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1answer
77 views

A quick chanllenge: height and weight probability problem

The average height and weight of a group of people is 175cm and 70kg; Find the upper bound of the portion of the people who are over 200cm and over 100kg. I thought about Markov inequality, but I ...
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1answer
126 views

Maximum Likelihood

Find maximum likelihood estimator $\hat\theta$ of $f(x;\theta) = (1/2)\exp(-|x-\theta|)$, for $-\infty \leq x < \infty$ and $-\infty \leq x < \infty$. I am confused of how to deal with the ...
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1answer
126 views

Optimal combination of two estimates

I have a set of random variables, $X_1,\dots,X_N$. They are i.i.d. Gaussian with zero mean and $w$ variance. I observe $Y_1,\dots,Y_N$ where $Y_i=\sum_{j=1}^N a_{ij} X_j+N_i$ where all $a_{ij}$s are ...
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1answer
41 views

Statistics: why is this probablility smaller?

a shipment of goods contains two containers, one container has 300 units and the other container has 700 units. A supervisor checks 30 units in the first container and he finds $X_1$ broken units and ...
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1answer
41 views

Overestimate of $|\oint_{|z|=R} f(z) \mathrm{d}z|$ with $f(z)=\frac{z^a}{z^2+1}$, $0<|a|<1\mathrm{with} \;a \in \mathbb R$

How can I overestimate, $|\oint_{|z|=R} f(z) \mathrm{d}z |$ with $f(z)=\frac{z^a}{z^2+1}$, $0<|a|<1 \; \mathrm{with} \;a \in \mathbb R$ ? I tried this: $|\oint_{|z|=R} f(z) \mathrm{d}z | <= ...
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1answer
258 views

expectation of Gamma distribution help

If x∼Gamma(1,λ) how would i find the expected value E(e^bx) where b=aλ I'm kinda stuck as to how to approach the question. Some help will be greatly appreciated Thank you in advance
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2answers
65 views

Why we always put log() before the joint pdf when we use MLE(Maximum likelihood Estimation)?

Maybe this question is simple, but I really need some help. When we use the Maximum Likelihood Estimation(MLE) to estimate the parameters, why we always put the log() before the joint density? To use ...
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1answer
48 views

Suitability of skew normal for rating task and calculation

in an experiment, I ask participants to rate qualities on a continuous scale. I expect the results to be normal distributed and I am confident that assuming a normal works fairly well for most values. ...
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23 views

A question on Stochastic Approximation

I have just started learning stochastic approximation methods, so the question I'm going to ask may be a trivial one in this field, but I need to know this seriousely. I know, that if $g(x,\xi)$ is a ...
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1answer
232 views

CRLB to find UMVUE

In what situation can one obtain an estimator that reaches the Cramer-Rao lower bound, i.e. an efficient estimator? I know the rules for finding UMVUEs, and I know they are efficient if they reach ...
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1answer
222 views

Does an UMVUE's variance match the Cramer-Rao lower bound?

I know it can match the CRLB, but does it have to, if it is an UMVUE?
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2answers
166 views

Does convergence in probability not imply convergence in distribution for Least Squares estimators?

I have a question relating to convergence in probability and distribution for least squares estimators. Frequently, I see in textbooks that $\hat{\beta} \rightarrow^p b$. Where $b$ is the population ...
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45 views

What are the properties of median-unbiased estimators?

On Wikipedia it says that " A median-unbiased estimator minimizes the risk with respect to the absolute-deviation loss function, as observed by Laplace." How to prove this? Note that I asked on Cross ...
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1answer
63 views

Is it possible to “customize” the multinomial distribution to your specifications?

So according to the multinomial distribution, the probability function $\Pr(X_1 = x_1, X_2 = x_2, \dots, X_k = x_k)$ is equal to $\dfrac{n!}{x_1! x_2! \cdots x_k!} \cdot p_1^{x_1}\cdot p_2^{x_2} ...
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1answer
162 views

How to calculate probability using multinomial distribution?

So according to the multinomial distribution, the probability function $\Pr(X_1 = x_1, X_2 = x_2, \dots, X_k = x_k)$ is equal to $\dfrac{n!}{x_1! x_2! \cdots x_k!} \cdot p_1^{x_1}\cdot p_2^{x_2} ...
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1answer
218 views

Find maximum likelihood estimator, trick?

Let $Y_1, Y_2, \ldots, Y_n$ iid random variables with density $f(y)=\theta\cdot y^{\theta-1}$, $0<y<1$, $\theta >0$. I need to show that the maximum likelihood estimator of $\theta$ is ...
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2answers
83 views

Estimating time in harmonic signal

I hope someone can help me with the following problem: Assume a periodic signal of the form $$\begin{align} s(t) &= \sum\limits_{p=1}^P \sin(p\Omega_0t)\\ &= \sum\limits_{p=1}^P ...
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81 views

Markov Chain : Montonicity of Sample Mean

Let $\{X_n\}_{n\geq1}$ be an irreducible, ergodic Markov chain with discrete state-space $S$, transition probability matrix $P$ and steady state distribution $\pi = \{\pi_j\}_{j\in S}$. Let $f$ be a ...
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23 views

ML Estimation for number of animals in a park. Hypothesis Testing.

A park of area $S=10 000 km^2$ was surveyed for bears, and out of $n$ disjoint regions of equal area $s=1km^2$, there were $n_k$ regions with $k=0,1,....,N$ bears. On each of these regions, the amount ...
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1answer
80 views

Bounds on least squares and weighted least squares estimator

I was wondering if I can get some help in getting bounds on the parameters estimated by least squares (LS) and weighted least squares (WLS) methods. Suppose our observation model is: $\mathbf{y} = ...
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1answer
83 views

Using Neyman pearson lemma when ratio comes out to be zero.

Consider a Bernoulli random variable: $$X_i= \begin{cases} 1, & \text{with probability }p \\ 0, & \text{with probability }1-p \end{cases}$$ You observe the outcomes of two Bernoulli trials ...
2
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1answer
46 views

Monotonicity of Sample Mean

$X_1,X_2,\ldots$ are drawn i.i.d. from a distribution with mean $\mu$. Define $\bar{X}_n = \frac{1}{n}\sum_{i=1}^n X_i$ Prove that $\forall t \quad E[|\bar{X}_t - \mu|] \geq E[|\bar{X}_{t+1} - \mu|]$ ...
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1answer
50 views

Estimator in a one dimensional normal setting with only one observation

Let $X$ have the distribution $N(\theta,1)$ where $\theta \ge 0$. Is $T=X$ an admissible estimator with respect to the mean squared error? Construct an estimator that respects the assumption $\theta ...
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1answer
4k views

Maximum Likelihood Estimator for Multinomial.

Suppose that 50 measuring scales made by a machine are selected at random from the production of the machine and their lengths and widths are measured. It was found that 45 had both measurements ...
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1answer
231 views

Finding UMVUE from Lehmann-Sheffe Directly

I am having some trouble with an example from the book I am following. Let $X_1,X_2,...,X_n$ for $n>2$ be an iid set of $N(\mu,\sigma^2)$ random variables with, $\mu\in\mathbb{R}$ and ...
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42 views

How to calculate $Q_n$estimator

How to calculate $Q_n$estimator from this formula for sample $1\;3\; 6\;2\;7\;5$: $$Q_n=d\left\{|x_i-x_j|;\;\;i<j\right\}_{(k)}$$ where d is constant factor and $k={h \choose 2}\thickapprox ...
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2answers
122 views

Estimation of the number of prime numbers in a $b^x$ to $b^{x + 1}$ interval

This is a question I have put to myself a long time ago, although only now am I posting it. The thing is, though there is an infinity of prime numbers, they become more and more scarce the further you ...
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2answers
113 views

What exactly is simple consistency?

Now yes, I know the definition: A sequence of estimators $\{T_n\}$of $\tau(\theta)$ are consistent if for every $\epsilon > 0$ $$ \lim_{n\to\infty}P[|T_n-\tau(\theta)|\leq\epsilon]=1 \\\text{ ...
4
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1answer
153 views

Estimate the scale of $e^{-(m+1) t} \sum _{k=0}^{\infty } \frac{t^k}{k!}\left(\sum _{r=0}^k \frac{t^r}{r!}\right)^{m}$

I would like to estimate the scale of the following series, $$S(m,t)=e^{-(m+1) t} \sum _{k=0}^{\infty } \frac{t^k}{k!}\left(\sum _{r=0}^k \frac{t^r}{r!}\right)^{m},$$ where $e$ is the base of ...
3
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1answer
499 views

CRLB/UMVUE estimation of $\theta$

We have a random sample $X_1,X_2,\ldots,X_n$ from a probabilitiy distribution with density $f(x;\theta) = \theta x^{-\theta-1} $ given that $x > 1$, and $0$ else. where $\theta >1 $ is an ...
0
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1answer
13 views

Estimating $\hat{p}$

let $X\sim Bin(n,p)$ and $\hat{p} =\frac{X}{n}$ a) Find a constant c such that $E[c\hat{p}(1-\hat{p})]=p(1-p)$ My work: $$ \begin{align} cE[\hat{p}(1-\hat{p})] ...
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1answer
80 views

Finding the MLE of $\theta$ where $\theta \leq x$

consider the following PDF $$ \begin{eqnarray} f(x;\theta) &=& \left\{\begin{array}{ll} 2\frac{\theta^2}{x^3} & \theta \leqslant x\\ 0 & x< \theta; 0 < \theta ...