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I'm having trouble solving exercise 7.7.1 in Grimmett & Stirzaker's Probability and Random Processes, which reads:

Let $X_1,X_2,\ldots$ be random variables such that the partial sums $S_n=X_1+X_2+ \cdots + X_n$ determine a martingale. Show that $\mathbb{E}\left(X_iX_j\right)=0$ if $i \neq j$.

To start, I'm just trying to show $\mathbb{E}[X_{1}X_{2}]=0$. I've tried writing $$ \begin{align} X_{1}^{2} &= X_{1} \mathbb{E}[S_{2}|X_{1}] &&\text{(By the martingale property.)}\\ &= \mathbb{E}[X_{1}^{2}|X_{1}] + \mathbb{E}[X_{1}X_{2}|X_{1}] &&\text{(By linearity of conditional expectation.)} \\ &=X_{1}^2 + \mathbb{E}[X_{1} X_{2}|X_{1}] &&\text{(By properties of conditional expectation.)} \end{align} $$ So $\mathbb{E}[X_{1} X_{2}|X_{1}]=0$, though this is not quite what I want.

Am I on the right track? Why or why not?

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1 Answer 1

up vote 5 down vote accepted

You're practically done, since $\mathbb{E}[X_1 X_2] = \mathbb{E}[\mathbb{E}[X_1 X_2 | X_1]]$.

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Of course! Thanks. I'll accept this when I'm allowed. – Quinn Culver Dec 8 '11 at 0:02

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