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I have this question.

By considering the probability that 2 independent, standard normal random variables, $x_1$ and $x_2$, lie within the square: $\{(x_1,x_2)||x_1|<x,|x_2|<x\}$, prove the Chernoff bound: $$erfc(x)<e^{-x^2}\text{where }x>0$$

I thought of first writing them in terms of Q-function, then convert to erfc. Here's what I have so far.

\begin{align} P(|x_1|<x,|x_2|<x) &= P(|x_1|<x)P(|x_2|<x)\\ &= [1-P(|x_1|>x)][1-P(|x_2|>x)]\\ &= \Bigg[1-\int_{x}^{\infty}\frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}}e^{\frac{-|x_1|^2}{2}}dx_1\Bigg]\Bigg[1-\int_{x}^{\infty}\frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}}e^{\frac{-|x_2|^2}{2}}dx_2\Bigg]\\ &= 1-\int_{x}^{\infty}\frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}}e^{\frac{-x_2^2}{2}}dx_2-\int_{x}^{\infty}\frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}}e^{\frac{-x_1^2}{2}}dx_1+\int_{x}^{\infty}\int_{x}^{\infty}\frac{1}{2\pi}e^{\frac{-(x_1^2+x_2^2)}{2}}dx_1dx_2\\ &= [1-erfc(x)]^2 \end{align}

I know that $$erfc(x) = \frac{2}{\sqrt{\pi}}\int_{x}^{\infty}e^{v^2}dV$$

But I have no idea where the inequality with the $e^{-x^2}$ comes in. Do I need to consider some other area, like a quadrant of a circle with radius $\sqrt{2}x$ or something?

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  • $\begingroup$ For $x>0$, direct application of Chernoff bound for $t=x$ yields $$P(X>x)<\frac {Ee^{xX}}{e^{x^2}}=e^{-x^2/2}$$ which is equivalent to $erfc(x)<e^{-x^2}$. $\endgroup$
    – A.S.
    Mar 10, 2016 at 6:42
  • $\begingroup$ You can, however, easily show $P(X>x)<\frac {e^{-x^2/2}}{\sqrt {2\pi}x}$ which is stronger for large $x>\frac 1{\sqrt {2\pi}}$. $\endgroup$
    – A.S.
    Mar 10, 2016 at 7:09
  • $\begingroup$ Thanks. I'm supposed to prove the Chernoff bound using the square, though, not directly apply the bound. $\endgroup$
    – Rayne
    Mar 10, 2016 at 15:40

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